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KBO: Samsung Lions vs. SSG Landers
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Samsung Lions vs. SSG Landers?

Volume:
$41,955

KBO: Samsung Lions vs. SSG Landers

 - Polymarket

KBO: Samsung Lions vs. SSG Landers - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 3, 2026

Closed: Jul 10, 5:30 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

KBO: Samsung Lions vs. SSG Landers

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$21,587
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 9.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$15,353
N/A
N/A
$10,895
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 5.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,002
N/A
N/A
$2,002
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 7.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,509
N/A
N/A
$1,456
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 11.5 runs scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,504
N/A
N/A
$1,110
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event group covers a KBO (Korean Baseball Organization) regular season game between Samsung Lions and SSG Landers scheduled for July 3, 2026 at 5:30 AM EDT. Polymarket offers a head-to-head winner market, while Kalshi offers four separate over/under markets on combined run totals (9.5, 11.5, 5.5, and 7.5 runs).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi are trading entirely different settlement events: Polymarket resolves on game winner (moneyline), while Kalshi resolves on combined run totals (over/under). No logical divergence within each market's internal rules, but the markets themselves are structurally independent.Hero tip: Treat these as two separate markets. A Samsung Lions win does not predict the combined run total, and vice versa. Monitor official KBO sources for game status (postponement, cancellation, tie). Kalshi's lack of explicit postponement language creates minor ambiguity—assume standard sports market convention (postponed games reopen, canceled games resolve No).

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Winner market (moneyline). Resolves to Samsung Lions if they win, SSG Landers if they win. If postponed, market remains open until completion. If canceled with no makeup or ends in tie, resolves 50-50. Primary source: official KBO (koreabaseball.com).
  • Kalshi: Four separate over/under markets on combined runs: >9.5, >11.5, >5.5, >7.5. Each resolves Yes if combined score exceeds threshold, No otherwise. No explicit postponement or tie logic provided. Assumes game is completed as scheduled.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This is a market on the KBO baseball game between Samsung Lions and SSG Landers, scheduled for July 3 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Samsung Lions" if the Samsung Lions win the game. This market will resolve to "SSG Landers" if the SSG Landers win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the KBO. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the total combined runs scored by Samsung Lions and SSG Landers in their college baseball game scheduled for July 3, 2026 at 5:30 AM EDT. The event encompasses four distinct run-total thresholds: 5.5 runs, 7.5 runs, 9.5 runs, and 11.5 runs. Each threshold operates independently, with resolution to Yes occurring if the combined team scoring exceeds the specified threshold for that particular market. The final official score at the conclusion of the game determines the outcome, with all runs counted regardless of when they are scored during regulation play.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi operate on continuous order books where traders themselves set prices, rather than oddsmakers posting fixed lines. This means this market's odds update in real time based on supply and demand, often reflecting sharper or faster-moving consensus than traditional sportsbooks. Prediction market prices tend to be more efficient at incorporating late-breaking news—injuries, weather, lineup changes—because traders profit directly from accurate pricing. However, sportsbooks may offer better liquidity on certain outcomes and typically include promotional incentives that prediction markets do not.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures, which can cause temporary price splits. Polymarket and Kalshi may also frame outcomes slightly differently—one might focus on the match winner while the other emphasizes run totals—leading to distinct risk profiles and attracting different strategies. Arbitrage traders typically exploit these gaps, but if liquidity is thin or withdrawal delays exist, spreads can persist. Monitoring both platforms gives you a fuller picture of where consensus truly lies and where mispricings may exist.

Key catalysts include lineup announcements, injury reports on star players, recent team form and head-to-head records, and weather conditions on game day. Betting syndicate activity and sharp money flowing into one side can also shift prices rapidly. Live game developments—early runs, pitching changes, or momentum swings—will drive intraday volatility if this market offers in-play trading. Public sentiment and media narratives around playoff implications or individual player performances may influence retail traders. Monitor team news feeds and KBO official channels for updates that could reshape trader positioning before and during the match.