TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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KBO: Samsung Lions vs. KT Wiz
kalshi
polymarket

KBO: Samsung Lions vs. KT Wiz

Volume:
$11,020

KBO: Samsung Lions vs. KT Wiz

 - Polymarket

KBO: Samsung Lions vs. KT Wiz - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 11, 2026

Closed: Jun 18, 5:30 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

KBO: Samsung Lions vs. KT Wiz

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,232
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Samsung Lions wins by over 1.5 runs

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,433
N/A
N/A
$4,283
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Samsung Lions wins by over 2.5 runs

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$511
N/A
N/A
$510
Settled
Yes
kalshi

KT Wiz wins by over 1.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$480
N/A
N/A
$480
Settled
No
kalshi

KT Wiz wins by over 2.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$364
N/A
N/A
$364
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This is a market on the KBO baseball game between Samsung Lions and KT Wiz, scheduled for June 11 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Samsung Lions" if the Samsung Lions win the game. This market will resolve to "KT Wiz" if the KT Wiz win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the KBO. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi and Polymarket offer structurally different market types on the same underlying game. Kalshi uses run-differential thresholds (four separate Yes/No contracts); Polymarket uses a simple moneyline (winner-take-all). Settlement values and resolution triggers are incompatible.Hero tip: Confirm your platform and contract type before trading. Kalshi's four markets are complementary (one always wins); Polymarket's moneyline is independent. If you hold Kalshi contracts, focus on final run differential. If you hold Polymarket, focus only on which team wins, not by how much. Tie and cancellation handling differs: Polymarket resolves 50-50 in those cases; Kalshi does not explicitly address them.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Four separate run-differential Yes/No markets. Market 1: KT Wiz win by >2.5 runs = Yes. Market 2: Samsung win by >1.5 runs = Yes. Market 3: KT Wiz win by >1.5 runs = Yes. Market 4: Samsung win by >2.5 runs = Yes. Settlement is binary (Yes/No) per market, determined by final run margin. Key Quote: 'If the [Team] win by more than [X] runs... then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Single binary moneyline market. Resolves to 'Samsung Lions' if Samsung wins (any margin), 'KT Wiz' if KT wins (any margin). If postponed, market stays open. If canceled with no makeup or ends in tie, resolves 50-50. Settlement is winner-only, margin-agnostic. Key Quote: 'This market will resolve to "Samsung Lions" if the Samsung Lions win the game.' and 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This is a market on the KBO baseball game between Samsung Lions and KT Wiz, scheduled for June 11 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Samsung Lions" if the Samsung Lions win the game. This market will resolve to "KT Wiz" if the KT Wiz win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the KBO. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the final margin of victory in the Samsung Lions vs KT Wiz Korea KBO game scheduled for June 11, 2026 at 5:30 AM EDT. The event encompasses four distinct outcomes based on run differential thresholds: KT Wiz victory by more than 2.5 runs, KT Wiz victory by more than 1.5 runs, Samsung Lions victory by more than 1.5 runs, and Samsung Lions victory by more than 2.5 runs. Each outcome resolves independently based on whether the specified team achieves the required margin of victory.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi often reflect sharper, more efficient pricing than traditional sportsbooks because they aggregate real-time belief from thousands of traders with direct financial incentive to be accurate. Sportsbooks build in margins and adjust lines to manage liability, whereas prediction markets move purely on supply and demand. For the Samsung Lions versus KT Wiz, comparing the implied probability across these platforms to major sportsbook lines can reveal value opportunities. Prediction market odds tend to update faster to breaking news like injuries or lineup changes, making them useful for spotting line movement before traditional books react.

Key catalysts include roster updates, injury announcements for star players on either team, recent form and win streaks, head-to-head historical matchups, and weather conditions on game day. Lineup changes, bullpen availability, and managerial decisions announced before first pitch will shift market odds. Trading volume and sharp money flow into one side can signal informed positioning. Media reports on team momentum, playoff implications, or player performance trends may also influence trader sentiment. Monitor KBO news outlets and team social media for last-minute developments. As game time approaches, real-time odds will tighten and volatility may spike if unexpected news breaks.