TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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KBO: Samsung Lions vs. Kiwoom Heroes
kalshi
polymarket

Who will win Samsung Lions vs. Kiwoom Heroes?

Volume:
$42,523

KBO: Samsung Lions vs. Kiwoom Heroes

 - Polymarket

KBO: Samsung Lions vs. Kiwoom Heroes - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 22, 2026

Closed: Jul 22, 10:41 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

KBO: Samsung Lions vs. Kiwoom Heroes

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,183
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 5.5 runs scored

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,818
N/A
N/A
$8,559
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 7.5 runs scored

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,203
N/A
N/A
$4,238
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 9.5 runs scored

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,672
N/A
N/A
$4,284
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 11.5 runs scored

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$647
N/A
N/A
$633
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event group covers a KBO (Korean Baseball Organization) regular season game between Samsung Lions and Kiwoom Heroes scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 5:30 AM ET. Polymarket offers a binary winner-take-all market, while Kalshi offers four separate over/under markets on combined run totals (5.5, 7.5, 9.5, and 11.5 runs).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi are measuring fundamentally different outcomes on the same game. Polymarket resolves on winner; Kalshi resolves on combined scoring thresholds. These are orthogonal market types, not conflicting versions of the same market.Hero tip: Do not assume these markets move together. A Samsung Lions 1-0 victory satisfies Polymarket but fails all Kalshi thresholds. Conversely, a 6-5 Kiwoom Heroes victory satisfies Kalshi 5.5 and 7.5 but resolves Polymarket to Kiwoom Heroes. Trade each market independently based on your view of (1) which team wins and (2) total game scoring.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary winner market. Resolves to Samsung Lions if they win, Kiwoom Heroes if they win. Resolves 50-50 if game is postponed indefinitely, canceled with no makeup, or ends in a tie. Primary source is official KBO information or credible reporting consensus. Key quote: 'This market will resolve to Samsung Lions if the Samsung Lions win the game.'
  • Kalshi: Four separate over/under markets on combined runs (5.5, 7.5, 9.5, 11.5). Each resolves Yes independently if combined score exceeds threshold. No explicit tie or cancellation language provided. Incorrectly labeled as College Baseball. Key quote: 'If Samsung Lions and Kiwoom Heroes collectively score more than 5.5 runs...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This is a market on the KBO baseball game between Samsung Lions and Kiwoom Heroes, scheduled for July 22 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Samsung Lions" if the Samsung Lions win the game. This market will resolve to "Kiwoom Heroes" if the Kiwoom Heroes win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the KBO. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the total runs scored by both Samsung Lions and Kiwoom Heroes in their Korea KBO game scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 5:30 AM EDT. Each market outcome resolves to Yes if the combined run total exceeds its specified threshold: 5.5 runs, 7.5 runs, 9.5 runs, or 11.5 runs. Official scoring follows standard baseball rules where all runs scored by either team during the complete game count toward the total.

Frequently asked questions

The Samsung Lions vs. Kiwoom Heroes matchup dashboard aggregates prediction market data across Polymarket and Kalshi, allowing traders to monitor real-time odds on this KBO League contest. Both venues enable participants to buy and sell shares tied to the game's outcome, with prices reflecting the collective forecast of thousands of traders. The dashboard consolidates volume and price signals from both platforms, giving you a unified view of how the market is pricing this matchup. You can track shifts in consensus as new information emerges, compare pricing across venues, and identify trading opportunities based on cross-platform divergence or momentum.

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price events differently. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets derive prices from open trading between participants with no house edge. This market reflects what thousands of traders believe will happen, often incorporating information faster than sportsbooks adjust their lines. Prediction market odds tend to be more efficient over time because traders have direct financial incentive to correct mispricings. However, sportsbooks may offer tighter spreads on high-volume events, and their odds are shaped by professional sharp bettors. Comparing both sources helps you identify value and understand how different pricing mechanisms interpret the same event.

Key catalysts include lineup announcements, injury reports on star players, recent team form and head-to-head records, and weather conditions on game day. Sharp line movement from professional traders often signals new information before it reaches casual bettors. Breaking news about roster changes, managerial decisions, or off-field developments can trigger rapid repricing. As game time approaches, pre-game betting action and live odds from sportsbooks may influence prediction market traders. Social media sentiment and expert commentary can also shift perception, especially if respected analysts highlight overlooked factors. Monitoring these signals helps you anticipate market moves and time your trades strategically.