TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 9, 8:44 AM EST
Kalshi
This event group concerns the outcome of a Korea Baseball Organization (KBO) game between the NC Dinos and the Kia Tigers. The markets predict which team will win the game scheduled for September 9th or 10th, 2026, depending on the platform.
This is a market on the KBO baseball game between NC Dinos and Kia Tigers, scheduled for September 10 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "NC Dinos" if the NC Dinos win the game. This market will resolve to "Kia Tigers" if the Kia Tigers win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the KBO. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The market resolves based on the result of the NC Dinos vs Kia Tigers Korea KBO game originally scheduled for September 9, 2026, at 5:30 AM EDT. If the NC Dinos win, their corresponding market resolves to Yes, and the Kia Tigers’ market resolves to No, and vice versa if Kia Tigers win. If the game ends in a tie, both markets resolve to a 50/50 split. Postponements or delays within two days of the original schedule do not affect the market’s resolution timeline—the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game concludes. However, if the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two days after the original date, the market resolves to a fair price, reflecting the adjusted conditions and probabilities at that time. These rules ensure clarity and fairness in resolving outcomes regardless of scheduling changes.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can differ due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information regarding the KBO. Trading fees and market-making strategies also vary between the platforms, influencing price discovery. Furthermore, the volume of trading on each platform can impact price volatility and the speed at which information is incorporated. These differences contribute to the observed discrepancies in probabilities for the NC Dinos versus Kia Tigers matchup.