TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 19, 8:54 AM EST
Kalshi
This event group covers a single KBO (Korean Baseball Organization) regular season game between the Lotte Giants and Samsung Lions scheduled for July 19, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT. Markets on both Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the outcome of this matchup.
This is a market on the KBO baseball game between Lotte Giants and Samsung Lions, scheduled for July 19 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Lotte Giants" if the Lotte Giants win the game. This market will resolve to "Samsung Lions" if the Samsung Lions win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the KBO. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This event covers the Lotte Giants vs Samsung Lions Korea KBO game originally scheduled for July 19, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT. Resolution depends on the final game outcome: if the Giants win, that market resolves Yes; if the Lions win, that market resolves Yes. If the game is postponed or delayed, markets remain open and close after the rescheduled game finishes within two days. Games cancelled or rescheduled beyond two days resolve to a fair price per rules. Tied games resolve both markets to 50/50.
Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks use different mechanisms to set odds. Sportsbooks employ professional oddsmakers and adjust lines to balance liability; prediction markets let traders themselves set prices through supply and demand. This market reflects what thousands of independent traders believe will happen, often incorporating real-time information faster than sportsbooks update their lines. Prediction market prices tend to be highly accurate for binary outcomes because traders have direct financial incentive to price correctly. However, sportsbook odds may offer different spreads or promotional terms, so comparing both can help you understand the full range of available pricing.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures, all of which influence how prices evolve. Polymarket and Kalshi may also have slightly different market mechanics—such as order-book depth, minimum trade sizes, or settlement timing—that cause temporary price gaps. Additionally, traders on one venue may react to news or team updates faster than the other, creating arbitrage opportunities. These differences typically narrow over time as sophisticated traders exploit spreads, but they can persist if one platform has significantly more volume or different user behavior patterns.
Key catalysts include injury announcements to star players, recent team performance trends, head-to-head historical matchups, and any roster changes or trades. Weather conditions on game day can also influence outcomes, particularly in baseball. Media coverage, expert predictions, and betting syndicate activity often trigger price shifts as new information reaches traders. Late-breaking lineup decisions or coaching changes in the days before the game may cause sharp moves. As the game approaches, real-time updates during pre-game shows and warm-ups typically drive final price adjustments, so this market remains dynamic until first pitch.