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404,028

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30,214

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

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61%

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KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Samsung Lions
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Lotte Giants vs. Samsung Lions?

Volume:
$7,728

Over 9.5 runs scored

 - Kalshi

Over 9.5 runs scored - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 18, 2026

Closed: Jul 18, 7:44 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Over 9.5 runs scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,904
N/A
N/A
$2,643
Settled
No
polymarket

KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Samsung Lions

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,193
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 5.5 runs scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,204
N/A
N/A
$875
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 11.5 runs scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$727
N/A
N/A
$665
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 7.5 runs scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$699
N/A
N/A
$548
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event group covers a KBO (Korean Baseball Organization) regular season game between Lotte Giants and Samsung Lions scheduled for July 18, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. Polymarket offers a binary win/loss market, while Kalshi offers multiple over/under markets on combined run totals.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Market Type Mismatch: Polymarket resolves on game winner (binary outcome), while Kalshi resolves on aggregate run totals (four separate thresholds). Additionally, Kalshi contains a critical data integrity error by labeling KBO (professional baseball) as College Baseball, raising concerns about game reference accuracy.Hero tip: These markets are not interchangeable. Polymarket bettors profit from predicting the winner; Kalshi bettors profit from predicting scoring volume. The College Baseball mislabeling on Kalshi is a red flag—verify the game exists, the date/time are correct, and the teams are correctly identified before committing capital. Consider whether Kalshi's data quality issues warrant reduced position sizing.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary win/loss market. Resolves to Lotte Giants if they win, Samsung Lions if they win, or 50-50 if game is postponed indefinitely, canceled entirely, or ends in a tie. Primary resolution source is official KBO information or consensus of credible reporting.
  • Kalshi: Four separate over/under markets on combined runs scored by both teams (thresholds: 5.5, 7.5, 9.5, 11.5 runs). Each resolves Yes if combined runs exceed the threshold. CRITICAL: Market is mislabeled as College Baseball when KBO is professional baseball, indicating potential data integrity issues.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This is a market on the KBO baseball game between Lotte Giants and Samsung Lions, scheduled for July 18 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Lotte Giants" if the Lotte Giants win the game. This market will resolve to "Samsung Lions" if the Samsung Lions win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the KBO. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

The Lotte Giants vs Samsung Lions college baseball game scheduled for July 18, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT will be evaluated across multiple run total thresholds. Resolution is determined by the combined runs scored by both teams during the complete game. Each threshold operates independently: the market resolves to Yes if the combined total exceeds 5.5 runs, 7.5 runs, 9.5 runs, or 11.5 runs respectively, depending on which specific market outcome is being evaluated. The final run total is calculated from official game statistics at the conclusion of the contest.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market activity across Polymarket and Kalshi for the Lotte Giants vs. Samsung Lions matchup. Traders on both venues are pricing outcomes related to this KBO regular-season game, with combined volume of $7,728 across all linked markets. The dashboard surfaces the leading prediction on each platform, allowing you to compare how different prediction communities assess the same event. You can track real-time odds shifts, 24-hour volume of $6,901, and consensus probability as the game approaches.

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price outcomes using different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, while prediction markets rely on continuous trader participation to discover prices. On Polymarket and Kalshi, odds reflect real-time supply and demand from thousands of independent traders rather than a single operator's margin. This market-driven approach often produces sharper, more responsive pricing than static sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges closer to game time.

Key catalysts include lineup announcements, injury reports for star players, recent team form and head-to-head records, weather conditions on game day, and betting action from sharp traders. Public news—such as roster changes or coaching decisions—often triggers rapid repricing across both platforms. Late-breaking information about player availability or venue factors can shift odds significantly in the final hours. Monitor KBO news feeds and team social media for updates that might influence trader sentiment and market prices.