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399,592

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2,622

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5

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KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Samsung Lions
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Lotte Giants vs. Samsung Lions?

Volume:
$103,599

Samsung Lions

 - Kalshi

Samsung Lions - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 16, 2026

Closed: Jul 16, 8:44 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Samsung Lions

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$53,878
N/A
N/A
$39,135
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Lotte Giants

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$38,807
N/A
N/A
$23,942
Settled
No
polymarket

KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Samsung Lions

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,914
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers a single KBO (Korean Baseball Organization) regular season game between the Lotte Giants and Samsung Lions scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 5:30 AM EDT. Markets on both Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the outcome of this game.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution criteria logically resolve to Yes regardless of game outcome (Lotte wins = Yes, Samsung wins = Yes), creating a logical contradiction that makes the market fundamentally unresolvable as a binary Yes/No instrument.Hero tip: This is a critical data integrity failure on Kalshi. Do not trade this market until Kalshi clarifies the resolution logic. Contact Kalshi support to confirm whether the market should specify a No condition (e.g., game canceled/tie) or whether it is misconfigured.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary categorical market with clear outcome mapping: resolves to Lotte Giants or Samsung Lions based on game winner. Tie, cancellation, or no make-up game results in 50-50 split. Source: official KBO information or credible consensus reporting.
  • Kalshi: Stated as Yes/No market but resolution rule specifies Yes for both possible game outcomes: 'If Lotte Giants wins...resolves to Yes. If Samsung Lions wins...resolves to Yes.' No condition for No resolution is specified, creating logical impossibility.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This is a market on the KBO baseball game between Lotte Giants and Samsung Lions, scheduled for July 16 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Lotte Giants" if the Lotte Giants win the game. This market will resolve to "Samsung Lions" if the Samsung Lions win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the KBO. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the winner of the Lotte Giants vs Samsung Lions Korea KBO game originally scheduled for Jul 16, 2026 at 5:30 AM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game finishes within two days. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled beyond two days, the market resolves to a fair price per official rules. In the event of a tie, the market resolves 50/50.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market pricing across Polymarket and Kalshi for the Lotte Giants vs. Samsung Lions matchup. Traders on both venues are pricing the outcome of this KBO matchup, with combined volume of $103,599 across all linked markets. The cross-platform view lets you compare how each venue's community is assessing the game, revealing consensus strength or divergence in real time. You can track price movements, monitor 24-hour volume at $46,587, and spot arbitrage opportunities between the two prediction markets as the event date approaches.

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price outcomes differently. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets reflect live trader consensus—often more efficient at incorporating new information. On this market, you'll see real-time odds shift as bettors react to team news, injuries, or lineup changes. Prediction market prices tend to converge toward true probability over time, especially as the event nears. Comparing these odds to your sportsbook's line can reveal value, though remember that prediction markets reward accuracy, not just picking winners.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures, which naturally creates price gaps. Polymarket and Kalshi may also have slightly different market designs or settlement timelines, affecting how traders price uncertainty. Regulatory differences and user bases can shift risk perception between venues. These spreads typically narrow closer to the event, but arbitrage opportunities can persist if one platform's community is slower to react to breaking news about the teams or conditions. Monitoring both venues helps you spot mispricings and time your trades strategically.

Key catalysts include roster announcements, injury reports for star players, recent team form and head-to-head records, and weather conditions on game day. Trades or lineup changes can shift market sentiment quickly, especially if a team loses a critical pitcher or batter. Public betting trends and sharp money flowing into one side can also trigger price moves. Media coverage, expert predictions, and live updates during the game itself will drive final volatility. Monitor KBO news feeds and team social channels for announcements that could reshape trader positioning before the final whistle.