TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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KBO: KT Wiz vs. Hanwha Eagles
kalshi
polymarket

Who will win KT Wiz vs. Hanwha Eagles?

Volume:
$31,785

KBO: KT Wiz vs. Hanwha Eagles

 - Polymarket

KBO: KT Wiz vs. Hanwha Eagles - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 1, 2026

Closed: Jul 8, 5:30 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

KBO: KT Wiz vs. Hanwha Eagles

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$23,696
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 9.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,883
N/A
N/A
$2,475
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 7.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,878
N/A
N/A
$1,649
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 5.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$960
N/A
N/A
$944
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 11.5 runs scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,368
N/A
N/A
$1,318
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event group covers a KBO (Korean Baseball Organization) regular season game between KT Wiz and Hanwha Eagles scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 5:30 AM EDT. Polymarket offers a head-to-head winner market, while Kalshi offers four separate over/under total runs markets at different thresholds (5.5, 7.5, 9.5, and 11.5 runs).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi measure different settlement values from the same game event. Polymarket resolves on match winner; Kalshi resolves on combined team scoring thresholds. Both use the same underlying game but produce independent resolution outcomes.Hero tip: Do not assume Kalshi and Polymarket positions will move together. A KT Wiz victory does not guarantee any specific Kalshi outcome—only the final combined run total determines Kalshi resolution. Track game winner and total runs as separate variables. Hedge accordingly if holding positions on both platforms.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Winner-based resolution (moneyline). Resolves to 'KT Wiz' if KT Wiz win, 'Hanwha Eagles' if Hanwha Eagles win. Ties or cancellations without makeup resolve 50-50. Source: Official KBO or credible consensus reporting.
  • Kalshi: Four separate over/under totals markets (5.5, 7.5, 9.5, 11.5 combined runs). Each market resolves Yes if combined score exceeds threshold, No otherwise. No tie or cancellation language provided; assumes game completion.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This is a market on the KBO baseball game between KT Wiz and Hanwha Eagles, scheduled for July 1 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "KT Wiz" if the KT Wiz win the game. This market will resolve to "Hanwha Eagles" if the Hanwha Eagles win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the KBO. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

Resolution depends on the total runs scored by both KT Wiz and Hanwha Eagles combined in their scheduled July 1, 2026 game at 5:30 AM EDT. The event contains four separate markets, each with a different run threshold: 5.5, 7.5, 9.5, and 11.5 runs. Each market resolves to Yes if the combined total exceeds its respective threshold, and to No otherwise. Official scoring follows standard baseball rules as recorded at game conclusion.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like these operate on real-money trading rather than fixed odds, meaning prices adjust continuously as new information arrives and traders adjust positions. Unlike traditional sportsbooks, which set lines and manage liability, prediction platforms let participants directly trade contracts, often resulting in tighter spreads and faster price discovery. Sportsbooks may lag prediction markets during breaking news or injury updates, while prediction markets can sometimes overshoot on sentiment. For this matchup, comparing the implied probabilities here to major sportsbook lines can reveal arbitrage opportunities or consensus shifts in how the market is valuing each team's chances.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, fee structures, and liquidity pools, leading to natural price variations. Polymarket's broader user base may price team-outcome contracts differently than Kalshi's more specialized derivatives audience. Settlement rules, minimum trade sizes, and platform UI also influence where traders choose to enter positions. Additionally, one platform may have deeper liquidity in a specific contract type—such as moneyline versus run totals—causing the same underlying event to be priced at different implied probabilities across venues. Savvy traders monitor both to identify mispricings.

Key catalysts include lineup announcements, starting pitcher confirmations, and injury updates for either team. Weather conditions at game time—particularly wind direction and temperature—can significantly impact run totals and offensive output. Recent team form, head-to-head records, and bullpen availability will influence trader positioning. Breaking news about roster changes, trades, or player suspensions can trigger sharp repricing. Additionally, early-game momentum and live score updates will drive intraday volatility, especially if one team jumps out to an early lead. Traders should stay alert to official KBO communications and team social media for real-time developments.