TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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KBO: Kia Tigers vs. Samsung Lions
polymarket
kalshi

KBO: Kia Tigers vs. Samsung Lions

Volume:
$318,503

Kia Tigers

 - Kalshi

Kia Tigers - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 30, 2026

Closed: Jul 29, 9:04 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Kia Tigers

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$152,351
N/A
N/A
$79,891
Settled
Yes
polymarket

KBO: Kia Tigers vs. Samsung Lions

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$10,628
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Samsung Lions

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$155,524
N/A
N/A
$95,474
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of a KBO baseball game between the Kia Tigers and the Samsung Lions. The current aggregated consensus probability for the leading outcome stands at 100.0%. The platforms aggregated for this market are Polymarket and Kalshi, with resolution sourced from https://www.koreabaseball.com/. The next key catalyst to watch will be the game itself, scheduled for July 29 at 5:30AM ET, which will determine the final result and market resolution.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental market structure mismatch: Polymarket includes explicit 50/50 resolution for ties/cancellations while Kalshi lacks tie/cancellation handlingHero tip: Focus Polymarket positions require tie protection strategies. Kalshi positions face unresolved edge cases for ties/cancellations. Prioritize Polymarket for complete resolution certainty.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to team name if that team wins, 50-50 for ties/cancellations/postponements - "If the game is canceled entirely... this market will resolve 50-50"
  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes for either team win with no tie/cancellation handling - "If Kia Tigers wins... market resolves to Yes. If Samsung Lions wins... market resolves to Yes"
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This is a market on the KBO baseball game between Kia Tigers and Samsung Lions, scheduled for July 29 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Kia Tigers" if the Kia Tigers win the game. This market will resolve to "Samsung Lions" if the Samsung Lions win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the KBO. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

Markets resolve to Yes for the named team if they win the Korea KBO game originally set for Jul 29, 2026 at 5:30 AM EDT. If postponed or delayed, markets remain active until the rescheduled game concludes within two days. Cancellations or reschedules beyond two days trigger fair price resolution. Tied games resolve to 50/50. Kalshi emphasizes no official ties to the Governing League; all trademarks are property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the KBO Tigers vs. Lions matchup market aggregates real-time data across platforms, showing how traders price the chances of different outcomes. It displays total volume of $318,503 and 24-hour volume of $317,553, letting you see consensus views and divergence between venues. This centralized view helps you monitor sentiment shifts and compare how Polymarket and Kalshi users are positioning themselves ahead of the game.

On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can vary because each platform attracts different user bases and liquidity profiles. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For instance, one venue might see heavier betting from KBO enthusiasts, skewing its implied probability. Additionally, differing trading volumes and market design choices can amplify or dampen price movements. These dynamics often create temporary mispricings that sharp traders seek to exploit.

Injuries, weather delays, or pitching changes can all shift expectations and move this market. Key starters taking the mound or last-minute roster updates often trigger rapid price adjustments. Follow pre-game analysis, live game stats, and any news bulletins — each update may reshape trader sentiment and volume on both Polymarket and Kalshi as the contest approaches.