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404,175

Markets across

30,277

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2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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VS.

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KBO: Kia Tigers vs. Hanwha Eagles
kalshi
polymarket

KBO: Kia Tigers vs. Hanwha Eagles

Volume:
$14,129

Over 5.5 runs scored

 - Kalshi

Over 5.5 runs scored - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 11, 2026

Closed: Jun 11, 8:20 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Over 5.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$350
N/A
N/A
$281
Settled
Yes
polymarket

KBO: Kia Tigers vs. Hanwha Eagles

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,296
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 11.5 runs scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$549
N/A
N/A
$496
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 7.5 runs scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$485
N/A
N/A
$474
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 9.5 runs scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$449
N/A
N/A
$341
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event group covers two distinct prediction markets on the same KBO baseball game between Kia Tigers and Hanwha Eagles scheduled for June 11, 2026 at 5:30 AM EDT. Kalshi offers four over/under markets on combined team scoring (7.5, 5.5, 9.5, and 11.5 runs), while Polymarket offers a head-to-head winner market (Kia Tigers vs. Hanwha Eagles) with tie/cancellation provisions.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi and Polymarket offer different market types on the same game: Kalshi provides run-total over/under markets while Polymarket provides a winner-determination market. These are complementary rather than conflicting, but traders must understand they are distinct prediction dimensions.Hero tip: Recognize that these markets measure different outcomes. Kalshi's run totals are independent of Polymarket's winner determination. A single game result can satisfy multiple Kalshi thresholds and simultaneously resolve Polymarket to a winner. Confirm which market type matches your trading thesis before committing capital.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Four separate over/under markets on combined team runs with thresholds at 5.5, 7.5, 9.5, and 11.5. Each market resolves Yes if combined score exceeds threshold. No explicit resolution source stated. Quote: 'If Kia Tigers and Hanwha Eagles collectively score more than [X] runs...then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Head-to-head winner market. Resolves to Kia Tigers if they win, Hanwha Eagles if they win, or 50-50 if tied/canceled/no makeup. Primary source is official KBO information and credible reporting consensus. Quote: 'This market will resolve to Kia Tigers if the Kia Tigers win the game' or 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This is a market on the KBO baseball game between Kia Tigers and Hanwha Eagles, scheduled for June 11 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Kia Tigers" if the Kia Tigers win the game. This market will resolve to "Hanwha Eagles" if the Hanwha Eagles win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the KBO. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

Each market independently resolves based on the combined total runs scored by both teams. A market resolves to Yes if the combined total exceeds the specified threshold (5.5, 7.5, 9.5, or 11.5 runs). Each threshold operates as a separate market with its own resolution criteria based on the final official game score.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket and Kalshi reflect real-money consensus from thousands of independent traders, often incorporating sharper analysis than traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract margin, prediction markets price outcomes based on supply and demand from informed participants. For the Tigers versus Eagles, comparing the implied probability on prediction markets to decimal or moneyline odds from major Korean and international sportsbooks can reveal whether the market is pricing this matchup more bullishly or bearishly than bookmakers. Prediction markets typically adjust faster to breaking news like injuries or lineup changes.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Polymarket and Kalshi may price the Tigers-Eagles matchup differently due to variations in user base, liquidity depth, and contract design. Polymarket focuses on match outcomes, while Kalshi emphasizes run-total derivatives, attracting traders with different risk profiles and information sets. Regulatory constraints, fee structures, and geographic trader concentration also influence how quickly each platform incorporates new data. Temporary price gaps between platforms create opportunities for arbitrage traders to profit by backing the same outcome across both venues, eventually narrowing the spread.

Key catalysts include roster announcements, injury updates to star pitchers or hitters, recent team form and win-loss streaks, and head-to-head historical performance. Weather conditions at the stadium on game day—wind speed, temperature, and humidity—significantly affect run totals and play style. Lineup changes, bullpen availability, and managerial decisions released hours before first pitch can shift market odds sharply. Breaking news about player suspensions, trades, or unexpected absences will trigger immediate repricing across both Polymarket and Kalshi. Trading volume typically spikes in the final hours as late-arriving information crystallizes consensus.