TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 22, 10:50 AM EST
Polymarket
This event group covers a KBO (Korean Baseball Organization) regular season game between the Hanwha Eagles and Kia Tigers scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 5:30 AM ET. Polymarket offers a binary win/loss market, while Kalshi offers four separate over/under markets on total runs scored (5.5, 7.5, 9.5, and 11.5).
This is a market on the KBO baseball game between Hanwha Eagles and Kia Tigers, scheduled for July 22 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Hanwha Eagles" if the Hanwha Eagles win the game. This market will resolve to "Kia Tigers" if the Kia Tigers win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the KBO. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution is determined by the total runs scored by both Hanwha Eagles and Kia Tigers in their Korea KBO game scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 5:30 AM EDT. Each market outcome resolves to Yes if the combined run total exceeds its specified threshold: 5.5 runs, 7.5 runs, 9.5 runs, or 11.5 runs. Official scoring follows standard baseball rules where all runs scored by either team during the complete game count toward the total.
Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi operate on crowd-sourced pricing: traders buy and sell shares tied to outcomes, and the market price reflects the collective belief of all participants. Traditional sportsbooks, by contrast, set odds based on internal models and manage risk through margin. Prediction market odds often converge toward true probabilities over time because traders have direct financial incentive to identify mispricings. For this matchup, comparing prediction market prices to your preferred sportsbook can reveal value opportunities, though both reflect legitimate estimates of the game's likely result.
Key catalysts include roster announcements, injury updates, recent team form, and head-to-head records. Weather conditions on game day can significantly impact run totals and overall performance. Trading volume and sentiment shifts on Polymarket and Kalshi themselves act as real-time signals of changing expectations. Breaking news—such as a star player's status or a coaching decision—often triggers sharp price moves. Monitor sports news feeds and platform activity closely; early movers who spot these signals before the broader market can capture edge in this market.