TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Lotte Giants
kalshi
polymarket

KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Lotte Giants

Volume:
$15,629

KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Lotte Giants

 - Polymarket

KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Lotte Giants - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 11, 2026

Closed: Jun 18, 5:30 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Lotte Giants

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$9,238
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 11.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,068
N/A
N/A
$1,508
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 5.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,883
N/A
N/A
$761
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 9.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,226
N/A
N/A
$809
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 7.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$214
N/A
N/A
$214
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 5

Description

This event group covers two distinct prediction markets on the same KBO baseball game between Doosan Bears and Lotte Giants scheduled for June 11, 2026 at 5:30 AM EDT. Kalshi offers four over/under markets on combined runs scored, while Polymarket offers a head-to-head winner prediction market.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Two distinct market archetypes on the same game event: Kalshi offers run-total over/under markets (Settlement Value type), while Polymarket offers a winner prediction market (Binary Event type). Resolution logic and settlement values are incompatible.Hero tip: Do not assume correlation between these markets. Kalshi markets settle on combined runs scored; Polymarket settles on which team wins. A high-scoring game (Kalshi Yes) does not determine the winner (Polymarket outcome). Trade each market independently based on your view of runs vs. winner.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Four separate over/under markets on combined runs scored by both teams. Each market has a distinct threshold (7.5, 5.5, 9.5, 11.5 runs). Resolves Yes if combined runs exceed threshold, No otherwise. Quote: 'If Doosan Bears and Lotte Giants collectively score more than X.5 runs... then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Single winner-prediction market. Resolves to 'Doosan Bears' if Bears win, 'Lotte Giants' if Giants win. Handles postponement (market stays open), cancellation/tie (50-50 split). Primary source: official KBO information. Quote: 'This market will resolve to "Doosan Bears" if the Doosan Bears win the game.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This is a market on the KBO baseball game between Doosan Bears and Lotte Giants, scheduled for June 11 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Doosan Bears" if the Doosan Bears win the game. This market will resolve to "Lotte Giants" if the Lotte Giants win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the KBO. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

Each market independently resolves based on the combined total runs scored by both teams. A market resolves to Yes if the combined total exceeds the specified threshold (5.5, 7.5, 9.5, or 11.5 runs). Each threshold operates as a separate market with its own resolution criteria based on the final official game score.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds reflect real-time consensus from thousands of traders with financial incentive to forecast accurately, whereas traditional sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract margin. For the Doosan Bears vs. Lotte Giants, prediction markets often react faster to lineup changes, injury updates, and weather shifts specific to Korean baseball. Comparing Polymarket and Kalshi odds to major sportsbooks reveals whether markets are pricing in information sportsbooks have yet to adjust, helping identify value or consensus shifts in real time.

Key catalysts include roster announcements, starting pitcher confirmations, and injury updates for both teams. Weather conditions in Seoul on game day—temperature, wind direction, and humidity—significantly affect run totals and play style. Recent team form, head-to-head records, and bullpen availability shift trader sentiment. Breaking news about player suspensions, umpire assignments, or venue changes can trigger sharp repricing across Polymarket and Kalshi. Live game developments like early runs, errors, or momentum swings drive continuous probability adjustments until the final out.