TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Kiwoom Heroes
polymarket
kalshi

Who will win the Doosan Bears vs. Kiwoom Heroes game?

Volume:
$190,790

Doosan Bears

 - Kalshi

Doosan Bears - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 5, 2026

Closed: Jul 5, 4:04 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Doosan Bears

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$119,911
N/A
N/A
$99,061
Settled
Yes
polymarket

KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Kiwoom Heroes

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$11,115
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Kiwoom Heroes

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$59,764
N/A
N/A
$38,888
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers a single KBO (Korean Baseball Organization) regular season game between the Doosan Bears and Kiwoom Heroes scheduled for July 5, 2026 at 1:00 AM EDT. Markets on both Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the outcome of this matchup.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution criteria contain a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Doosan Bears win or Kiwoom Heroes win) are mapped to Yes, leaving no valid No resolution path. This makes the market unresolvable as stated.Hero tip: Treat Kalshi as unresolvable until platform clarification. The Yes/No mapping must be corrected to match standard moneyline logic (e.g., Yes = Doosan Bears win, No = Kiwoom Heroes win). Trade only on Polymarket until Kalshi documentation is verified.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Categorical resolution to winning team name. Resolves to Doosan Bears if they win, Kiwoom Heroes if they win, or 50-50 split if postponed/canceled/tied. Source: Official KBO or credible consensus. This is standard and resolvable.
  • Kalshi: Binary Yes/No structure, but both game outcomes map to Yes: 'If Doosan Bears wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Kiwoom Heroes wins...resolves to Yes.' No valid No condition is defined. This is logically impossible for a binary market.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This is a market on the KBO baseball game between Doosan Bears and Kiwoom Heroes, scheduled for July 5 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Doosan Bears" if the Doosan Bears win the game. This market will resolve to "Kiwoom Heroes" if the Kiwoom Heroes win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the KBO. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the final result of the Doosan Bears vs Kiwoom Heroes KBO game originally scheduled for July 5, 2026 at 1:00 AM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game concludes within two days. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled beyond two days, the market resolves to a fair price per official rules. In the event of a tie, the market resolves 50/50.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price outcomes through different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets rely on peer-to-peer trading where participants directly set odds based on their beliefs. This market's pricing reflects what traders collectively think will happen, unfiltered by bookmaker margins. Prediction market odds often move faster than sportsbooks in response to breaking news or injury reports, making them a useful benchmark for comparing consensus probability against traditional betting lines. Both sources inform sharp bettors, but each operates under distinct incentive structures.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures, all of which influence price discovery. Polymarket and Kalshi may also enforce different rules around market hours, leverage, or settlement timing. Regulatory environments and platform-specific incentives can cause temporary divergence; arbitrage traders typically exploit these gaps, but friction costs and timing lags mean prices don't always converge instantly. Monitoring both venues helps identify when one platform is pricing this market more efficiently than the other, signaling potential trading opportunities.

Key catalysts include roster updates, injury announcements, recent team performance trends, and head-to-head historical records. Weather conditions on game day, home-field advantage, and momentum shifts in the KBO season can all influence trader positioning. Major lineup changes or managerial decisions announced shortly before the match often trigger sharp repricing. Media coverage and expert commentary may also sway sentiment, particularly if respected analysts highlight overlooked matchup dynamics. Traders should track official team communications, injury reports, and KBO standings to anticipate moves in this market.