TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 3:05 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team—Kayserispor or Istanbulspor AS—will score more goals in the second half of their upcoming Turkey 1. Lig match on September 14, 2026, including any added stoppage time, or if they will draw. Currently, the consensus probability of Kayserispor winning the second half is 100%. This prediction is an aggregation of views from Kalshi and Polymarket, with resolution determined by official match statistics, potentially supplemented by data from Flashscore or Sofascore. Keep an eye on the kickoff time of 1:00 PM ET on September 14, 2026, as the second-half result will determine the outcome of this market.
In the upcoming Turkey 1. Lig game between Kayserispor and Istanbulspor AS, scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Kayserispor" if Kayserispor score more goals than Istanbulspor AS in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Kayserispor and Istanbulspor AS score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Istanbulspor AS" if Istanbulspor AS score more goals than Kayserispor in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
The event covers three possible outcomes of the Konyaspor vs Trabzonspor professional Super Lig soccer match scheduled for September 12, 2026: a win for Konyaspor, a win for Trabzonspor, or a tie after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Each market resolves to Yes if its respective outcome occurs. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following the platform's guidelines. The resolution excludes extra time and penalty shootout results. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and information. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume generally leads to more efficient price discovery. Additionally, the specific rules and fee structures of each platform can influence trading behavior. For example, different risk tolerances among traders on Polymarket versus Kalshi could lead to differing assessments of the Kayserispor vs. Istanbulspor second half outcome.