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Kayserispor vs. Istanbulspor AS
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Kayserispor vs. Istanbulspor AS?

Volume:
$16,728

Kayserispor

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 14, 2026

Closed: Sep 14, 3:03 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Kayserispor

View
100%
32%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,673
N/A
N/A
$7,528
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Kayserispor

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,082
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,765
N/A
N/A
$3,755
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Kayserispor vs. Istanbulspor AS)

View
0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$228
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Istanbulspor

View
0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,600
N/A
N/A
$2,533
Settled
No
polymarket

Istanbulspor AS

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$381
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a soccer match between Kayserispor and Istanbulspor AS scheduled for September 14, 2026. Markets exist for Kayserispor winning, Istanbulspor winning, or the game ending in a draw. Resolution depends on official match statistics.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Kalshi markets define resolution based on the same 90-minute match outcome and utilize the same resolution source hierarchy.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics from the Turkish Football Federation (TFF.org)

Core resolution logic:

  • Kayserispor win market resolves 'Yes' if Kayserispor wins within 90 minutes + stoppage time.
  • Istanbulspor win market resolves 'Yes' if Istanbulspor wins within 90 minutes + stoppage time.
  • Draw market resolves 'Yes' if the match ends in a draw within 90 minutes + stoppage time.
  • If the game is canceled with no makeup game, the win markets resolve 'No' and the draw market resolves 'Yes'.
  • If the game is postponed, markets remain open until completion.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Availability: If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours of the match's conclusion, Flashscore data will be used. If Flashscore is unavailable, Sofascore data will be used. If neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting will be used. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, markets will resolve 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.
  • Score Revisions: Revisions to officially declared final scores made *after* market resolution will not be considered.
Timing: Resolution will occur within 24 hours of the match's conclusion, or as soon as official statistics are available, whichever is later.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Turkey 1. Lig game, scheduled for Monday, September 14, 2026 between Kayserispor and Istanbulspor AS.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Kayserispor vs Istanbulspor professional TFF 1. Lig soccer match scheduled for September 14, 2026, after the full 90 minutes of regulation time plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Kayserispor, a win for Istanbulspor, or a tie. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' outcome resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price following the platform's guidelines. The event specifically excludes extra time and penalty shootouts in determining the result.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the underlying mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, factoring in a 'vig' or commission. Prediction markets, however, are driven by genuine belief – traders buy and sell contracts based on their assessment of the likelihood of an outcome. This can lead to more accurate probabilities, as the 'wisdom of the crowd' tends to correct biases. While sportsbooks may initially reflect public perception, this market can evolve as informed traders contribute to price discovery.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge for several reasons, even when tracking the same event. Differences in user base, trading fees, and market-specific rules all contribute to price discrepancies. Polymarket may attract a different type of trader than Kalshi, leading to varying interpretations of available information. Furthermore, liquidity – the volume of trading activity – can impact price stability; a less liquid market is more susceptible to price swings. These factors create opportunities for arbitrage, where traders exploit price differences across platforms.