TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 2, 1:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Kawkab AC and Maghreb AS de Fès, scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Kawkab AC" if Kawkab AC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Maghreb AS de Fès" if Maghreb AS de Fès are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between Kawkab AC and Maghreb AS de Fès, scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Kawkab AC" if Kawkab AC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Maghreb AS de Fès" if Maghreb AS de Fès are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different pricing mechanisms. Sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and risk management, while prediction markets derive prices from continuous trader activity and collective belief. This market aggregates decentralized participant views rather than a single operator's assessment. Prediction markets frequently outperform sportsbook consensus on binary outcomes because traders have direct financial incentive to identify mispricings. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbook lines can reveal whether the crowd is pricing the first goal differently than professional oddsmakers.
On Polymarket, traders set prices through an automated market maker mechanism where buying and selling pressure directly adjusts the odds. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome has a price between 0 and 1, representing the implied probability that Kawkab AC or Maghreb AS de Fès scores first. As traders buy shares in one outcome, the price rises; selling pressure lowers it. This continuous repricing ensures the market reflects the latest information and participant conviction. Liquidity depth and order flow determine how quickly prices respond to new catalysts.
This market resolves around Jul 2, 2026, once the match concludes and the first goal is verified against credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by which team scores the opening goal in regulation time. Once the event is confirmed through reliable match data, the winning outcome receives full payout and the losing outcome expires worthless. Early resolution may occur if one team is eliminated or the match is officially abandoned before any goal is scored.
Several factors can shift odds significantly before the match begins. Team news—including confirmed lineups, injuries to key forwards or defenders, or tactical announcements—often triggers sharp price movement. Betting syndicates and sharp traders may accumulate positions based on proprietary analysis, signaling conviction to the broader market. Pre-match analysis from respected analysts can sway sentiment. Weather conditions, venue factors, and recent form updates also influence trader behavior. Once the match starts, early possession, shots on target, and defensive mistakes will cause rapid repricing as live information flows in.