TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 5, 2:40 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of the first map in an upcoming League of Legends match between two esports teams. The result depends entirely on which team secures the victory on the initial map during their scheduled competition. Any changes to the match schedule or cancellations will affect how the outcome is determined.
If Kaufland Hangry Knights wins map 1 in the Prime League 1st Division 2026: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs. Team Orange Gaming League of Legends match originally scheduled for Aug 5, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Team Orange Gaming wins map 1 in the Prime League 1st Division 2026: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs. Team Orange Gaming League of Legends match originally scheduled for Aug 5, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, the current implied probability reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks may incorporate additional factors like historical performance or public betting trends, this market price is driven purely by participant activity. Traders often see tighter spreads and more nuanced pricing adjustments compared to standard sportsbook odds. The difference can be especially notable for niche events like esports matches, where prediction market participants may have deeper expertise or access to different information streams.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, pricing for the Map 1 winner market emerges from continuous trading, where participants buy and sell contracts based on their expectations. The current top outcome reflects the aggregate view of all active traders, with the probability displayed as a percentage. Volume of $9,773 indicates the level of interest and liquidity, while recent trading activity can shift prices rapidly as new information emerges about team strategies or player form.
This market resolves around Aug 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the match result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of Map 1 will be the decisive factor, and the market will close promptly after the map concludes, reflecting the official game result.
Several key signals could impact this market before Aug 5, 2026. Practice sessions, player injuries, or strategic announcements from either team may shift trader sentiment. Performance in earlier maps of the match can also influence expectations for Map 1 outcomes, as can commentary from analysts or coaches. Any last-minute roster changes or tournament rule updates could cause rapid price adjustments as participants reassess probabilities.