TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Above 21M
- Kalshi
Above 21M - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 15, 2026
Closed: Sep 13, 6:19 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
The event tracks whether a music act achieves specific global daily view thresholds on a popular video platform during a defined week. Outcomes depend on whether the act's YouTube views surpass various milestones within the specified timeframe, measured from a standardized location to ensure consistency.
Kalshi
The event evaluates multiple thresholds of global daily YouTube views for the artist KATSEYE between September 7, 2026, and September 13, 2026. Each threshold represents a distinct outcome, resolving to Yes if KATSEYE's view count exceeds the specified level at any point during the period. All view counts are determined using data displayed from a New York IP address to maintain uniformity, with the understanding that YouTube has not endorsed these markets and that any references to YouTube are purely descriptive.
Frequently asked questions
Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals how collective intelligence differs from expert opinion. Often, this market reflects a broader range of information and perspectives than a single analyst might consider. If analysts are consistently over or underestimating the likely view count for KATSEYE, we’ll see a divergence between their predictions and the odds on Kalshi. This difference can be insightful, highlighting potential biases or overlooked factors influencing the event. It’s important to remember that both approaches have limitations, and neither guarantees accuracy.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, creating a real-time forecast of the highest daily view count for KATSEYE during the specified period. The current volume indicates the level of interest and confidence in these probabilities.
This market resolves around Sep 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The highest daily view count for KATSEYE between September 7, 2026, and September 13, 2026, will be determined by publicly available data from KATSEYE's official reporting channels. This data will be used to identify the outcome that corresponds to one of the contracts traded on Kalshi, and payouts will be distributed accordingly. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s result.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Any news regarding KATSEYE’s content schedule, marketing campaigns, or partnerships could influence its anticipated viewership. Unexpected viral trends or media coverage could also drive increased interest. Furthermore, competitor activity or changes in the broader entertainment landscape could impact KATSEYE’s performance. Major announcements from KATSEYE itself, such as new features or content releases, are likely to be key catalysts for price movement in this market as traders adjust their expectations.
