TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
What is KATSEYE’s highest daily view count?
Above 23M
- Kalshi
Above 23M - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 29, 2026
Closed: Sep 29, 12:19 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
The event tracks the performance of the music artist KATSEYE by monitoring their daily view counts on YouTube over a specific week. It evaluates whether the artist achieves various high view count thresholds within that timeframe, reflecting potential viral success or major audience engagement.
Kalshi
The event assesses whether the music artist KATSEYE attains specified global daily view count thresholds on YouTube during the period from September 21, 2026, to September 27, 2026. Each market corresponds to a distinct view count threshold, ranging from above 11 million to above 25 million views. For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' KATSEYE must surpass the respective threshold at any point during the specified week. View counts will be determined using data displayed from a New York IP address via YouTube Charts, with the 'Global' location selected. It is explicitly stated that YouTube has not endorsed these markets, and references to YouTube charts are purely descriptive, indicating no affiliation or endorsement by YouTube.
Frequently asked questions
Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals how collective intelligence stacks up against expert opinion. Often, this market demonstrates the 'wisdom of the crowd,' potentially identifying insights that individual analysts might miss. If analysts consistently overestimate or underestimate the likely view count, the market may offer a contrarian signal. Discrepancies could arise from differing methodologies, biases, or access to information. It’s important to consider that analysts’ forecasts are typically point estimates, while this market represents a probability distribution of possible outcomes, offering a more nuanced view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders like you set the odds by placing buy and sell orders. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that specific outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the likely view count. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth – the volume of orders at different price levels – indicates how confident traders are in their predictions and how much liquidity is available. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the highest daily view count recorded for KATSEYE between September 21, 2026, and September 27, 2026. The precise view count data will be sourced from publicly available metrics and verified to ensure accuracy. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their chosen outcome matches the verified highest daily view count during that period.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Major announcements regarding KATSEYE’s content schedule, marketing campaigns, or platform partnerships could all influence predicted viewership. Unexpected news related to competing platforms or broader entertainment trends could also shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, early viewership numbers during the week of September 21st, 2026, will likely have a substantial impact as traders react to real-time data. Any controversies or viral moments surrounding KATSEYE could also drive increased attention and, consequently, changes in the market.
