TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
This set of markets tracks the potential for an artist named KATSEYE to attract substantial global viewership on YouTube over a specific week. Each market represents a different threshold of daily views that, if surpassed at any point during the period, would trigger a positive outcome. The focus is on measuring audience engagement through view counts rather than financial or competitive results.
Kalshi
All markets resolve based on whether KATSEYE achieves a specified number of Global daily views on YouTube at any point between October 12, 2026, and October 18, 2026. Each market corresponds to a unique view count threshold, ranging sequentially from above 11 million to above 25 million. Resolution relies exclusively on data displayed from a New York IP address when accessing YouTube Charts, with users instructed to search for the artist and select “Global” as the location filter. It is explicitly stated that YouTube has not endorsed these markets or associated products, and any references to YouTube charts or branding are purely descriptive and do not imply affiliation or endorsement. All markets share identical secondary rules regarding data sourcing and disclaimer language.
Frequently asked questions
Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals how collective intelligence differs from expert opinion. Often, this market reflects a broader range of information and perspectives than a single analyst might consider. If analysts are consistently over or underestimating the likely view count, we’ll see a divergence between their predictions and the odds on Kalshi. This difference can highlight potential biases in analyst models or the market’s ability to incorporate unexpected factors influencing KATSEYE's viewership.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes, and the prices of these contracts determine the implied probabilities. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective belief about the most likely outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth, or the number of buy and sell orders at different price levels, indicates the level of agreement among traders regarding the potential view counts for KATSEYE during the specified period.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the highest daily view count recorded for KATSEYE between October 12, 2026, and October 18, 2026. The specific view count data will be sourced from publicly available metrics, ensuring transparency and objectivity in determining the winning outcome for this market.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Any major announcements regarding KATSEYE’s content schedule, marketing campaigns, or collaborations could influence viewership expectations. Unexpected news related to competing streaming platforms or content releases could also shift attention. Furthermore, social media trends and viral moments featuring KATSEYE could drive increased viewership. Positive or negative critical reception of new KATSEYE content could also play a role in shaping the market’s predictions.
