TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 12, 2:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on the margin of victory in the Katowice vs Hapoel Tel Aviv match. Outcomes depend on whether Katowice or Hapoel Tel Aviv wins by more than a specific goal difference during regulation time.
Resolution hinges on the goal differential if either team wins the match during the 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. Specific outcomes require Katowice to win by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals, or Hapoel Tel Aviv to win by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. If the actual differential meets or exceeds the specified threshold for an outcome, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. The official match result from the governing league determines the outcome.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set the price through their bids and offers, which determines the current implied probability for each possible spread outcome. The market price adjusts continuously as new information emerges and participant positions change, reflecting the collective assessment of likely regulation-time performance differences between the teams.
This market resolves around Aug 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the actual regulation-time spread in the match, which will be compared against the market's defined thresholds at that time.
Several key signals could impact this market before Aug 12, 2026. Team performance leading up to the match, player injuries, and coaching strategies are critical factors that may shift expectations. Any last-minute roster changes or tactical announcements could also influence trader sentiment. Additionally, broader league trends or home-field advantages might affect perceptions of likely outcomes. As the event approaches, updated expert analyses and fan discussions may further steer the market toward new valuations based on fresh information.