TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 12, 2:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This market determines which team advances from the Katowice vs Hapoel Tel Aviv soccer tie in the Qualification Round 3 of the Conference League. The outcome depends on the overall result of the tie, including any potential extra time or penalty shootouts, rather than just the regulation time result. The match is scheduled for August 12, 2026.
If Katowice advance past Hapoel Tel Aviv in the Katowice vs Hapoel Tel Aviv soccer tie in the Qualification Round 3 of the Conference League, then the market resolves to Yes. If Hapoel Tel Aviv advance past Katowice in the Katowice vs Hapoel Tel Aviv soccer tie in the Qualification Round 3 of the Conference League, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds adjust dynamically based on real-time trading activity, often showing sharper movements compared to sportsbook odds, which may incorporate broader public betting patterns and different risk models. The difference can be notable, especially as the match date approaches, when trading volume increases. While sportsbooks may set lines based on historical data and analyst input, this market price is driven purely by trader bets and can therefore diverge significantly from sportsbook offerings.
This market resolves around Aug 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official match result, which is then compared against the market’s defined outcomes. Once verified, the market settles according to the rules set by Kalshi, ensuring a clear and transparent resolution process based on publicly available data.
Several signals could shift this market before Aug 12, 2026. Key team updates—such as player injuries, coaching changes, or lineup announcements—often trigger rapid adjustments. Additionally, early match performance, such as goal differentials or momentum swings, can dramatically alter trader expectations. Media narratives and expert commentary leading up to the game may also influence sentiment. As trading volume grows closer to the event, any last-minute roster changes or tactical revelations are likely to produce the most pronounced movements in this market.