TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Kasımpaşa SK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK - More Markets
kalshi
polymarket

Kasımpaşa SK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK - More Markets

Volume:
$389,401

Kasimpasa

 - Kalshi

Kasimpasa - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 16, 2026

Kasimpasa vs Karagumruk Winner?

100%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 100¢ buys you 100 shares | Odds: 100% Total Payout: $100 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: 1.00x | ROI: 0% | APY: N/A Illiquid market
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Kasimpasa

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$4,336
$94,395
0%
0%
$68,564
N/A
polymarket

O/U 3.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$75,743
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 2.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$50,371
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 1.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$35,826
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Both Teams to Score

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$11,005
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 4.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,736
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

Karagumruk

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$237
$70,582
0%
0%
$59,518
N/A
kalshi

Tie

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
-$475
$42,743
0%
0%
$27,098
N/A
Total markets: 8

Description

This event group covers a Turkish Super Lig soccer match between Kasımpaşa SK and Fatih Karagümrük SK scheduled for February 16, 2026. Markets span match outcome (Kalshi) and multiple goal-based propositions including over/under totals at 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, and 4.5 goals, plus a both-teams-to-score market (Polymarket).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Kalshi and Polymarket align on the same resolution source (tff.org), time window (90 minutes plus stoppage time, no extra time or penalties), and handling of postponements and cancellations.Primary resolution logic: tff.org (Turkish Football Federation official final score)

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is based on the official final score from tff.org within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only
  • Extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from all market resolutions
  • Over/Under markets resolve based on combined goals: O/U 1.5 resolves Over at 2+ goals, O/U 2.5 at 3+ goals, O/U 3.5 at 4+ goals, O/U 4.5 at 5+ goals
  • Both Teams to Score resolves Yes if each team scores at least one goal, No if either team scores zero goals
  • Match outcome markets (Kalshi) resolve to Yes for any outcome: Kasımpaşa win, tie, or Karagümrük win
  • If game is postponed, markets remain open until the game is completed
  • If game is canceled entirely with no makeup game, goal-based markets resolve 50-50; match outcome markets resolve based on the applicable outcome
  • If game starts but is not completed, resolution follows the official final score published on tff.org

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: Markets remain open until the game is completed; no early resolution occurs
  • Cancellation with no makeup: Goal-based markets (O/U and Both Teams to Score) resolve 50-50; match outcome markets resolve based on the applicable outcome (all three outcomes resolve to Yes)
  • Incomplete match: Resolution follows the official final score published on tff.org at the time of stoppage
  • Extra time or penalties: Excluded from all market resolutions; only 90 minutes plus stoppage time counts
Timing: Resolution occurs after the match concludes and the official final score is published on tff.org, within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage timeOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.