TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Kasımpaşa SK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK - More Markets
Volume:
$389,401
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Turkish Super Lig soccer match between Kasımpaşa SK and Fatih Karagümrük SK scheduled for February 16, 2026. Markets span match outcome (Kalshi) and multiple goal-based propositions including over/under totals at 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, and 4.5 goals, plus a both-teams-to-score market (Polymarket).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Kalshi and Polymarket align on the same resolution source (tff.org), time window (90 minutes plus stoppage time, no extra time or penalties), and handling of postponements and cancellations.
Primary resolution logic:
tff.org (Turkish Football Federation official final score)Core resolution logic:
- Resolution is based on the official final score from tff.org within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only
- Extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from all market resolutions
- Over/Under markets resolve based on combined goals: O/U 1.5 resolves Over at 2+ goals, O/U 2.5 at 3+ goals, O/U 3.5 at 4+ goals, O/U 4.5 at 5+ goals
- Both Teams to Score resolves Yes if each team scores at least one goal, No if either team scores zero goals
- Match outcome markets (Kalshi) resolve to Yes for any outcome: Kasımpaşa win, tie, or Karagümrük win
- If game is postponed, markets remain open until the game is completed
- If game is canceled entirely with no makeup game, goal-based markets resolve 50-50; match outcome markets resolve based on the applicable outcome
- If game starts but is not completed, resolution follows the official final score published on tff.org
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Postponement: Markets remain open until the game is completed; no early resolution occurs
- Cancellation with no makeup: Goal-based markets (O/U and Both Teams to Score) resolve 50-50; match outcome markets resolve based on the applicable outcome (all three outcomes resolve to Yes)
- Incomplete match: Resolution follows the official final score published on tff.org at the time of stoppage
- Extra time or penalties: Excluded from all market resolutions; only 90 minutes plus stoppage time counts
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes and the official final score is published on tff.org, within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage timeOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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