TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Kasımpaşa SK vs. Eyüpspor
Volume:
$178,181
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Turkish Super Lig soccer match between Kasımpaşa SK and Eyüpspor scheduled for March 15, 2026. Markets are offered on Polymarket (three binary outcomes: Eyüpspor win, Kasımpaşa win, draw) and Kalshi (a single market covering all three possible outcomes as Yes resolutions).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket offers outcome-specific binary markets while Kalshi offers an omnibus match-completion market. The markets serve different purposes and cannot be directly compared or netted.Hero Tip:
Polymarket positions reflect conviction on a specific outcome (win/loss/draw). Kalshi position reflects conviction that the match will be played to completion. These are complementary but distinct bets. A Kalshi Yes position does not hedge a Polymarket position.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets on specific outcomes. Eyüpspor Win resolves Yes if Eyüpspor wins, No otherwise. Kasımpaşa Win resolves Yes if Kasımpaşa wins, No otherwise. Draw resolves Yes if match ends in a draw, No otherwise. Canceled match with no makeup resolves No for win markets and Yes for draw market. Resolution source is TFF official statistics within 2 hours, with credible reporting consensus as fallback.
- Kalshi: Single omnibus market that resolves Yes if any of three outcomes occur: Tie, Kasimpasa Win, or Eyupspor Win (all after 90 minutes plus stoppage time). This market effectively resolves Yes whenever the match is completed, regardless of outcome. No explicit cancellation clause provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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