TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Kasımpaşa SK vs. Amed Sportif
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Kasımpaşa SK vs Amed Sportif?

Volume:
$102,562

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 6, 2026

Closed: Sep 6, 12:05 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
70%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$38,978
N/A
N/A
$16,932
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Kasımpaşa SK vs. Amed Sportif)

100%
70%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$573
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Kasimpasa

0%
42%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$27,711
N/A
N/A
$12,207
Settled
No
polymarket

Kasımpaşa SK

0%
39%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,224
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Amed

0%
31%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$24,593
N/A
N/A
$16,009
Settled
No
polymarket

Amed Sportif

0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,484
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the outcome of the soccer match between Kasımpaşa SK and Amed Sportif scheduled for September 6, 2026. The markets focus on whether Kasımpaşa SK will win, whether the match will end in a draw, and whether Amed Sportif will win, all based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental outcome inclusion divergence between binary markets (Polymarket) and tri-state market (Kalshi)Hero tip: Traders on Kalshi should monitor Polymarket markets for early resolution signals, as any final match outcome (win for either team or draw) will resolve the Kalshi market to Yes

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Will Kasımpaşa SK win? Will the match end in a draw? Will Amed Sportif win? Each market resolves to Yes/No based on specific outcome with cancellation rules
  • Kalshi: Single tri-state market: If Kasimpasa wins OR Amed wins OR match ties, market resolves to Yes. Effectively bets on match completion rather than specific outcome
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Süper Lig game, scheduled for Sunday, September 6, 2026 between Kasımpaşa SK and Amed Sportif.

Kalshi

The event involves determining the winner of a professional Super Lig soccer match between Kasimpasa and Amed scheduled for September 6, 2026, based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Kasimpasa, a win for Amed, or a tie. If the game concludes with either team securing a victory within regular time, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should the match end in a tie after the same duration, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the governing rules. The resolution explicitly excludes outcomes determined during extra time or penalty shootouts.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect the actual betting activity of participants rather than set probabilities. While sportsbooks may adjust their odds to balance their own risk, prediction markets let traders buy and sell contracts at prices set by supply and demand. This can lead to sharper or more volatile pricing, especially as new data emerges. For this matchup, traders might see a different implied probability for each possible result compared to sportsbook odds, influenced by the unique dynamics of user participation and liquidity.

Injuries, lineup changes, or weather conditions could shift this market as the match approaches. Key moments like star player availability or tactical decisions by coaches often cause rapid price swings, especially on platforms with lower volume such as the current $81,697 24-hour trading activity. News reports, pre-game betting trends, and even social media sentiment may influence trader behavior and move probabilities significantly before the final whistle.