TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Kashiwa Reysol vs. Yokohama F·Marinos
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Kashiwa Reysol vs. Yokohama F·Marinos?

Volume:
$75,330

Yokohama F·Marinos

 - Polymarket

Yokohama F·Marinos - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 6, 2026

Closed: Sep 6, 8:10 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Yokohama F·Marinos

View
100%
81%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$8,532
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Marinos wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,227
N/A
N/A
$1,380
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Kashiwa Reysol

View
0%
57%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50,894
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Kashiwa wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,058
N/A
N/A
$6,201
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Kashiwa Reysol vs. Yokohama F·Marinos)

View
0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,368
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Kashiwa wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,299
N/A
N/A
$1,808
Settled
No
kalshi

Marinos wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,951
N/A
N/A
$1,594
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This group centers around the outcome of a J1 League soccer match between Kashiwa Reysol and Yokohama F·Marinos on September 6, 2026. Markets ask whether either team will win, or if the game will end in a draw. Additional markets on Kalshi focus on the margin of victory.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi introduces margin of victory markets not present on Polymarket, creating SKU risk and requiring a more precise prediction.Hero tip: Focus on Polymarket markets if you are unsure of the potential goal differential. Kalshi markets offer higher potential payouts, but also carry greater risk.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Markets resolve based on a simple win, draw, or loss. "If Kashiwa Reysol wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No"."
  • Kalshi: Markets resolve based on the margin of victory. "If Kashiwa wins by more than 2.5 goals...then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Japan J. League game, scheduled for Sunday, September 6, 2026 between Kashiwa Reysol and Yokohama F·Marinos.

Kalshi

The event covers four distinct outcome scenarios for the Kashiwa versus Marinos Japan J1 League soccer match scheduled for September 6, 2026. All resolutions are based solely on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with extra time and penalty shootouts excluded. If Kashiwa wins by more than 2.5 goals, that specific market resolves to Yes. Similarly, if Kashiwa wins by more than 1.5 goals, that corresponding market resolves positively. For Marinos, winning by more than 1.5 goals triggers a Yes resolution in its designated market, as does a victory margin exceeding 2.5 goals. Each rule operates independently, allowing for multiple markets to resolve to Yes depending on the exact goal differential. The governing body is not affiliated with Kalshi, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect a more diverse range of opinions than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks typically set lines based on their own modeling and risk assessment, while prediction markets aggregate the wisdom of the crowd. This can lead to differences, particularly when there's significant public disagreement or access to unique information among traders. The volume of $75,330 in this market indicates the level of interest and potential accuracy compared to conventional betting venues. It's important to note that both offer different insights into the potential outcome of the Kashiwa Reysol and Yokohama F·Marinos game.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Different user bases, varying trading fees, and distinct market-making strategies all contribute to price discrepancies. Polymarket might attract more sophisticated traders with specialized knowledge of the J1 League, while Kalshi could have a broader, more casual audience. Furthermore, the liquidity – or volume – on each platform influences price discovery. Currently, this market shows differing probabilities for the match outcome, reflecting these platform-specific dynamics. This allows for arbitrage opportunities as traders seek to capitalize on price differences between the two venues.