TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 21, 8:20 AM EST
Polymarket
This group contains markets for the Japan J. League soccer match between Kashiwa Reysol and V-Varen Nagasaki, covering various betting lines including spreads, over/under totals, and team-specific scoring outcomes.
More markets for the Japan J. League game, scheduled for August 21 at 6:00 AM ET.
The event resolves based on the result of the Fagiano O vs V-Varen professional Japan J1 League soccer match scheduled for August 15, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A market resolves to Yes if the associated team wins the match within regulation time. If the match ends in a tie after regulation, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following Kalshi’s standard procedures. The event exclusively considers the result after regular time and does not account for extra time or penalty shootouts. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds on this market often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines due to different participant dynamics and pricing mechanisms. While sportsbooks may incorporate proprietary adjustments, prediction markets let traders set prices directly based on real-time sentiment. This can lead to sharper or more volatile odds, especially when major betting inflows occur or new information emerges about team performance or injuries.
On Polymarket and Kalshi, pricing models, user bases, and liquidity levels can cause variations in odds for this market. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For instance, differing trading volumes or regional interest may skew probabilities. Each platform calculates its own implied probabilities based on bets placed, so even small shifts in wagering patterns can produce noticeable gaps between the two venues.