TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 16, 2:32 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the Liiga match between Karpat Oulu and Ilves Tampere, scheduled for September 16 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Karpat Oulu" if Karpat Oulu is officially credited with the match win. This market will resolve to "Ilves Tampere" if Ilves Tampere is officially credited with the match win. The official final result will be used, including overtime and any shootout. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to a team only if that team is officially credited with the win; otherwise it will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin, is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Liiga results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market refers to the Liiga match between Karpat Oulu and Ilves Tampere, scheduled for September 16 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Karpat Oulu" if Karpat Oulu is officially credited with the match win. This market will resolve to "Ilves Tampere" if Ilves Tampere is officially credited with the match win. The official final result will be used, including overtime and any shootout. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to a team only if that team is officially credited with the win; otherwise it will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin, is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Liiga results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, with prediction markets sometimes offering more accurate probabilities, especially when information isn't fully priced into sportsbook lines. However, it’s also common to see convergence as the event approaches and more information becomes available, and both reflect public sentiment.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price fluctuates, reflecting the evolving collective forecast. The current price indicates what traders, as a group, believe is the likelihood of Karpat Oulu winning against Ilves Tampere.
This market resolves around Sep 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Karpat Oulu versus Ilves Tampere hockey game. The platform will verify the outcome against official sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the winning shares. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Karpat Oulu or Ilves Tampere would likely cause significant movement. Unexpected changes in team performance, such as a winning or losing streak, could also shift trader sentiment. Even news regarding coaching changes or team morale could impact the market. Finally, any major announcements related to the game itself, like a change in venue or time, could also cause fluctuations in the odds.