TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 6, 10:54 AM EST
Kalshi
Karmine Corp and NRG compete in Map 2 of their Valorant match at the Esports World Cup 2026 on July 6, 2026. The winner of this individual map will be determined by standard Valorant gameplay rules.
If Karmine Corp wins map 2 in the Esports World Cup 2026: Karmine Corp vs. NRG Valorant match originally scheduled for Jul 6, 2026 at 9:45 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If NRG wins map 2 in the Esports World Cup 2026: Karmine Corp vs. NRG Valorant match originally scheduled for Jul 6, 2026 at 9:45 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital. This market's odds represent crowdsourced expectations from participants who profit by forecasting accurately. Comparing the two can reveal where professional bettors and casual traders disagree on the likely outcome, though sportsbook lines typically incorporate more real-time injury reports and late-breaking news.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for shares corresponding to each possible outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the most recent matched trade, and the spread between buy and sell orders shows the cost of immediate execution. As new information emerges or trader sentiment shifts, prices adjust dynamically. Higher prices indicate stronger conviction in that outcome, while lower prices suggest lower perceived probability among active traders.
This market resolves around Jul 6, 2026, once the Map 2 result is finalized and verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome will be confirmed based on which team wins the map in the official match broadcast or league records. Until that point, prices may fluctuate as new developments emerge, team roster updates surface, or analyst commentary shifts trader expectations. Resolution is binary: one team will be declared the winner of this specific map.
Several factors could shift prices before resolution. Player roster changes, injuries, or unexpected roster swaps by either organization could alter perceived strength. Recent performance trends, scrim results, or public statements from coaches and players may influence trader sentiment. Meta shifts in the game itself, patch updates, or map-specific strategy innovations could favor one team over the other. Additionally, odds may tighten or widen as the match date approaches and more concrete information becomes available, with late-breaking news typically driving the most volatile price movements.