TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 1, 4:30 PM EST
Kalshi
Two League of Legends teams compete in a best-of-series format where each map win alternates between the teams. The total number of maps played determines whether the series ends quickly or extends longer than expected.
The event involves two separate outcome markets for the same match, each evaluating whether more than a specific number of maps will be played. If the match concludes with more than 3.5 maps played, the first market resolves positively. Similarly, if more than 4.5 maps are played, the second market resolves positively. The secondary rules clarify that the platform is unaffiliated with the governing league and that all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds adjust dynamically based on real-time trading activity and volume of $3,725, while sportsbooks set their own lines using statistical models and risk management. The two can diverge due to different pricing mechanisms and participant bases. For this market, the current implied probability shows whether traders favor an over or under outcome on the KCB vs TLN maps market. Sportsbook odds may move differently based on broader betting trends, public sentiment, and official analyst predictions.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders manually set prices through buying and selling contracts, which determines the market’s current implied probability. The top outcome’s displayed chance reflects the most recent trading activity, and volume of $3,725 shows overall interest. As the event approaches, any shift in perceived likelihood — from practice performances to roster updates — can cause rapid re-pricing among participants.
This market resolves around Sep 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is based on the officially recorded number of maps played during the match, as reported by league organizers and widely covered by esports news outlets. No internal platform mechanisms determine the settlement — it relies on independent, publicly available data.
Several key signals could shift this market before it resolves on Sep 1, 2026. Team performance in practice scrims, player injuries or roster changes, and strategic adjustments made by coaches often influence trader expectations. Major media coverage highlighting one side’s strengths can also create momentum swings. As the match date approaches, updated betting trends and expert analysis may drive volume of $3,528 and shift probabilities. Any last-minute lineup decisions or tournament rule changes could further impact this market’s direction in the final days.