TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 30, 12:45 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the total number of games played in the professional tennis match between Karen Khachanov and Billy Harris at the 2026 Wimbledon Men's Singles Round of 128 on June 30. Bettors can wager on whether the match will exceed various game thresholds.
The event resolves based on the total number of completed games in the full match between Karen Khachanov and Billy Harris at the 2026 Wimbledon Men's Singles Round of 128. If the match does not occur before play begins due to injury, walkover, forfeiture, or cancellation, the market resolves to a fair price. If postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled match concludes within two weeks. If a player retires, markets that can be unconditionally settled based on completed play resolve accordingly; those that cannot are settled at Fair Market Price as determined by the Exchange at its sole discretion.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. For this matchup, comparing the implied probability here to major sportsbook totals can reveal whether the prediction market is pricing a longer or shorter contest than traditional oddsmakers expect. Prediction markets often surface sharper estimates when informed traders have conviction.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders continuously buy and sell outcome shares, with the current bid-ask spread reflecting the live consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome fluctuates based on supply and demand, so as new information about player form or match conditions emerges, the odds adjust in real time. You can enter limit or market orders to express your view on the total number of games.
This market resolves around Jun 30, 2026, once the Khachanov vs Harris match concludes and the final game count is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the total number of games played in their contest, regardless of set scores or match duration. Resolution occurs automatically after the event is confirmed, and all positions settle based on the verified result.
Several factors can shift odds before resolution. Recent form and head-to-head records influence expectations about match competitiveness and likely game count. Court surface, weather conditions, and player injury updates can all impact how traders price the total. Tournament stage and seeding may also matter—early-round matches often differ in intensity from later rounds. As the match date approaches, any official lineup changes or player statements could trigger repricing as the market incorporates fresh information.