TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 30, 12:45 PM EST
Kalshi
This market covers the exact set score outcome of the professional tennis match between Karen Khachanov and Billy Harris at the 2026 Wimbledon Men's Singles Round of 128 on June 29. The match will be settled based on the final set score achieved by either player.
The market resolves based on the final set score of the Karen Khachanov vs Billy Harris match at 2026 Wimbledon Men's Singles Round of 128. If the match does not occur due to injury, walkover, forfeiture, or cancellation before play begins, the market resolves to fair price. If postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled match concludes within two weeks. If a player retires, outcomes that can be unconditionally settled based on completed play resolve accordingly; outcomes that cannot be unconditionally settled resolve to fair market price at the Exchange's discretion.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders who have real money at stake on outcomes. This market aggregates trader conviction directly into prices, which can sometimes lead to sharper or more efficient odds than conventional betting venues. Comparing this market's pricing to major sportsbooks can reveal where informed traders see value relative to traditional oddsmakers.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts tied to each possible exact score outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each contract reflects the collective probability assigned by active traders; higher prices indicate greater perceived likelihood. Liquidity and trading volume directly influence how tight the bid-ask spreads are and how quickly prices adjust to new information. As match day approaches, prices typically become more volatile as new data and sentiment shifts flow into the market.
This market resolves around Jun 29, 2026, once the Khachanov vs Harris match concludes and the final set-by-set score is confirmed. The outcome is verified against credible public sources reporting the official result. Your position settles based on whether the exact score you predicted matches the verified final outcome. Early resolution is possible if the match is cancelled or postponed under circumstances that trigger market rules, so monitor official tournament communications as the date approaches.
Player form, recent head-to-head records, and injury announcements are primary catalysts that shift this market's prices. Court surface conditions, weather forecasts, and tournament seeding can also influence trader positioning on likely outcomes. News about either player's fitness or mental state in the days before the match often triggers sharp repricing. Additionally, if either competitor plays a warm-up match beforehand, the results and performance metrics may prompt significant trading activity as bettors update their score predictions based on fresh evidence.