TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 1:20 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether Kanye West achieves specific levels of global daily views on YouTube within a defined week. The outcome depends on whether his view counts surpass various thresholds at any point during that period, measured from a New York IP address.
All markets resolve based on whether Kanye West attains specified global daily YouTube view thresholds between September 14 and September 20, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different view count benchmark, ranging from above 4 million to above 8 million views. The resolution uses view counts displayed from a New York IP address via YouTube Charts, with the term "Global" selected as the location filter. All markets explicitly state that YouTube has not endorsed these products, and references to YouTube are purely descriptive, indicating no formal affiliation or endorsement from YouTube.
Currently, it’s difficult to directly compare the odds in this market to analyst forecasts, as predictions about future social media views are often speculative and vary widely. Traditional analysts may focus on past performance and current trends, while this market reflects the collective judgment of traders who are incentivized to assess all available information and express their beliefs through their trades. It's possible that the market will prove to be more accurate than initial analyst estimates, or vice versa, depending on unforeseen events and changes in public interest.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders can buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices will adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for exposure to a particular outcome related to Kanye West’s views.
This market resolves around Sep 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the platform will determine Kanye West’s highest daily view count during the period of September 14, 2026, to September 20, 2026, based on publicly available data from major video platforms and social media sites. The outcome will be based on the highest verified daily view count achieved during that timeframe, regardless of the platform where those views occurred.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Any major announcements from Kanye West regarding new music, projects, or public appearances would likely impact his viewership. Significant media coverage, both positive and negative, could also drive interest. Unexpected controversies or viral moments involving Kanye West could lead to a surge in views. Finally, changes in the algorithms of major social media platforms or video-sharing sites could affect his visibility and, consequently, the probabilities reflected in this market.