TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
The event monitors if Kanye West reaches above 4 million global daily views on YouTube during the same week. Like the NBA YoungBoy event, it uses a New York IP address to fetch view counts for resolution.
Kalshi
Similar to the NBA YoungBoy event, multiple thresholds (4M to 8M) apply to Kanye West's global daily YouTube views from October 12 to October 18, 2026. Any threshold breach on a single day results in a 'Yes' outcome for that market, with data collected via a New York IP address and no endorsement from YouTube or Kalshi.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, it's difficult to directly compare the odds in this market to traditional analyst forecasts, as predictions about social media views are often subjective and vary widely. Analysts may focus on factors like album release schedules or public appearances, but this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are directly putting capital behind their beliefs. If analyst predictions consistently diverge from the market’s implied probabilities, it could present opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the latest information and sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, with traders attempting to profit from perceived mispricings.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which daily view count for Kanye West was the highest between October 12, 2026, and October 18, 2026. The data source used to verify the outcome will be a widely recognized and trusted source for tracking social media views, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Any major announcements regarding Kanye West’s music, public appearances, or social media activity would likely impact trading. Unexpected controversies or positive publicity could also shift sentiment. Furthermore, changes in the broader social media landscape, such as algorithm updates or shifts in user engagement, could influence the perceived likelihood of different view counts. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding price movements in this market.
