TOTAL VOLUME:
$147.6b
24H VOL:
$185,329,595
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,799,378,420
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,813,258,821
507,072
Markets across
37,953
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,853
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Kansas State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5
- Polymarket
Kansas State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolves Oct 17, 2026
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This market tracks whether Kansas State will make one or more 40+ yard field goals in their game against Kansas, and currently gives a 100.0% probability to that outcome. It also gives a 100.0% probability to Kansas State making two or more 40+ yard field goals. Aggregated from Kalshi and Polymarket, this market will resolve based on data from https://www.ncaa.com/. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for October 17th, as the outcome of this market will depend on performance during that contest.
In the upcoming college football game between Kansas and Kansas State, scheduled for October 17 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Kansas" if Kansas win the game. This market will resolve to "Kansas State" if Kansas State win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The market resolves based on the winner of the Kansas versus Kansas State college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of the originally scheduled start time, the market stays open and resolves based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi states it is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks, logos, and brand names belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the nature of how they are determined. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market reflects the aggregated beliefs of a diverse group of forecasters. This can lead to more accurate probabilities, especially as new information emerges. Furthermore, prediction markets allow participants to trade positions, creating a dynamic pricing mechanism that responds quickly to changing perceptions. The current volume of $2,678,343 indicates active trading and evolving expectations for this event.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences in pricing between Polymarket and Kalshi often arise due to variations in trader demographics, market-making activity, and the specific mechanisms each platform employs for price discovery. Polymarket may attract a different class of traders than Kalshi, leading to differing interpretations of the available information. Furthermore, the liquidity and order book dynamics on each platform can influence prices independently. These factors contribute to the observed discrepancies, even though both platforms are ultimately tracking the same underlying event – the Kansas State vs. Kansas rivalry.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the final score of the Kansas State vs. Kansas game, as reported by official sources. The platform will verify the outcome against widely available and trusted data to ensure accuracy. Trading will cease prior to this date, allowing for a final price to reflect the market's prediction before the game concludes. This provides a clear timeframe for participants to assess their positions.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Key player injuries, coaching changes, or significant shifts in team performance are all potential catalysts. Unexpected news regarding team morale or strategic adjustments could also impact market prices. Furthermore, public sentiment and media coverage can play a role, especially if they create a narrative that influences trader perceptions. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding how this market evolves leading up to its resolution on Oct 17, 2026.