TOTAL VOLUME:
$53.9b
24H VOL:
$231,847,320
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,314,157,835
499,417
Markets across
14,310
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,754
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Kansas State Wildcats vs. UCF Knights (W)
Volume:
$24,300
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between Kansas State Wildcats and UCF Knights scheduled for February 18, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets on Polymarket resolve based on the winner (Kansas State or UCF), while Kalshi's market structure creates a logical inconsistency in how resolution is defined.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (UCF win and Kansas State win) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable as a binary prediction market.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading on Kalshi until the market definition is corrected. The market cannot settle properly as written. Polymarket offers clear, resolvable logic: back the team you believe will win. Kalshi requires immediate clarification from the platform on whether this is a game-occurrence market or if the second condition should resolve to No.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Clean winner-based binary resolution. If Kansas State wins, resolves to Kansas State Wildcats. If UCF wins, resolves to UCF Knights. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Final score including overtime determines outcome.
- Kalshi: Logically contradictory binary structure. Both UCF win and Kansas State win are stated to resolve to Yes, creating an impossible settlement condition. No explicit handling of postponement or cancellation.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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