TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Kansas State Wildcats vs. Houston Cougars
Volume:
$2,001,876
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A college basketball game between Kansas State Wildcats and Houston Cougars scheduled for February 14, 2026. Multiple prediction markets track the moneyline winner, point spread outcomes, and total points scored across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline markets contain a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Houston win and Kansas State win) resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Additionally, Polymarket lists conflicting game times (9:00 PM ET vs 4:00 PM ET) across different market types.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's moneyline markets. Use Polymarket exclusively. Confirm the actual game time through NCAA.com before the event, as the 9:00 PM ET vs 4:00 PM ET discrepancy creates settlement risk. All spread and total markets on Polymarket use consistent 4:00 PM ET timing and should be treated as the authoritative source.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline markets state both 'If Houston wins...resolves to Yes' and 'If Kansas St. wins...resolves to Yes', creating a logical impossibility where every outcome resolves to Yes. This makes the market unresolvable.
- Polymarket: Moneyline correctly resolves to 'Kansas State Wildcats' or 'Houston Cougars' based on winner. However, moneyline is listed as 9:00 PM ET while spread and total markets are listed as 4:00 PM ET, creating a timing inconsistency that may affect settlement.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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