TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 8:47 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance gap between Kansas State and Cincinnati during the second quarter of their scheduled college football game. It focuses exclusively on the scoring differential within that specific quarter, offering various thresholds for victory margins.
The event resolves based on the point differential between Kansas State and Cincinnati exclusively during the second quarter of play in their college football game scheduled for September 26, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific point spread threshold, with outcomes determined solely by scores accumulated in that quarter. If Kansas State exceeds the specified margin over Cincinnati, the corresponding 'Kansas St. wins 2Q by over X points' market resolves to Yes; conversely, if Cincinnati exceeds the threshold against Kansas State, the relevant 'Cincinnati wins 2Q by over X points' market resolves to Yes. All markets remain active if the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, resolving according to the official second-quarter result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of game timing changes.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price in this market will move accordingly. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the collective insight of participants in this market. It's a useful comparison point for anyone following the game.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final second quarter spread of the Kansas State vs Cincinnati game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics reported by a trusted sports data provider. The market will determine which contracts pay out based on whether the actual spread falls within the range specified by each contract. All trading will cease once the outcome is officially known and verified.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Kansas State or Cincinnati teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts could also impact the spread, as could late-breaking analysis from sports commentators or analysts. Unexpected betting patterns or large volume trades on Kalshi could also signal shifts in market sentiment. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the teams' relative strengths will likely affect the price of contracts in this market.