TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 10:54 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate various scoring thresholds for the second half of a college football game between Kansas State and Cincinnati. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring performance that must be exceeded for the market to resolve positively. The outcomes depend solely on the points scored during the second half, including any overtime periods.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams in the second half (including overtime) of the Kansas St. vs Cincinnati college football game scheduled for September 26, 2026. For each market, if the collective second-half points exceed the specified threshold — ranging from more than 2.5 points to more than 41.5 points — the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final official result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific threshold being wagered upon.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning with, but sometimes diverging from, traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs. If there's a significant difference, it could indicate that market participants have insights that sportsbooks haven't fully incorporated into their lines, or vice versa. It's important to compare both to get a comprehensive view of potential outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the total points scored in the Kansas State-Cincinnati second half will be over or under 27.5. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating a greater probability of the 'over' outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all traders participating in the market, providing a real-time estimate of the event's likelihood.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the Kansas State-Cincinnati second half, as reported by official sources, will determine whether the total points scored exceed 27.5. Traders holding contracts on the winning side will receive a payout of 1.00, while those on the losing side will receive 0.00. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market's outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries for either Kansas State or Cincinnati would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact scoring, could also affect trading activity. In-game developments, such as a dominant performance by one team or a high number of early scores, would also likely shift the market's price as traders react to the unfolding events. Any significant news related to the teams could move this market.