TOTAL VOLUME:
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400,720
Markets across
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 16, 9:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This baseball game between Kansas City and Washington on June 16, 2026 will be analyzed for individual team run production. Bettors can wager on whether each team will exceed various run thresholds throughout the full game.
Resolution is based on the final official run totals for each team in the Kansas City vs Washington professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 16, 2026 at 6:45 PM EDT. Washington outcomes resolve to Yes if that team scores 2 or more runs (over 1.5), 3 or more runs (over 2.5), 4 or more runs (over 3.5), 5 or more runs (over 4.5), 6 or more runs (over 5.5), 7 or more runs (over 6.5), or 8 or more runs (over 7.5). Kansas City outcomes resolve to Yes if that team scores 2 or more runs (over 1.5), 3 or more runs (over 2.5), 4 or more runs (over 3.5), 5 or more runs (over 4.5), 6 or more runs (over 5.5), 7 or more runs (over 6.5), or 8 or more runs (over 7.5). Each outcome is evaluated independently based on the respective team's final run total.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital on outcomes. This market may show different implied probabilities than traditional sportsbooks, particularly if informed traders spot value or if public perception differs from sharp consensus. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd's expectations diverge from professional oddsmakers, though both sources provide useful reference points for assessing the likelihood of various team total outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the current supply and demand from participants, with bid-ask spreads tightening as liquidity increases. Traders can place limit or market orders to express their view on the team totals, and the platform matches buyers and sellers in real time. As new information emerges or sentiment shifts, prices adjust dynamically to reflect the collective forecast of the trading community.
This market resolves around Jun 17, 2026, once the Kansas City vs Washington game concludes and the final team totals are confirmed. The outcome is verified against credible public sources to ensure accuracy and fairness. Traders should monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches, since any late-breaking news or lineup changes could influence final scoring. Once the game is complete and official statistics are available, the market will settle based on the verified team totals, and positions will be paid out accordingly.
Several factors could shift odds in this market before resolution. Injury announcements to key offensive or defensive players will likely trigger sharp repricing, as will weather updates if conditions could affect scoring pace. Line movements at sportsbooks often precede prediction market moves, so monitoring traditional odds can provide early signals. Team news, coaching decisions, or unexpected roster changes may also influence trader sentiment about total points. Close to game time, late-breaking information and sharp money positioning typically drive the most significant price movements as the market converges toward its final outcome.