TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 30, 4:20 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether either Kansas City or Texas will score a run during the first inning of their scheduled matchup. On Kalshi, the probability of at least one run scoring in the opening frame stands at 43.0%. Resolution is determined by the official result of the Kansas City vs Texas game scheduled for May 30, 2026 at 4:05 PM EDT. Watch the teams' recent offensive performance and bullpen matchups leading into first-inning action on May 30, 2026.
The market resolves on May 30, 2026. Resolution is determined by whether at least one run scores during the first inning of the Kansas City vs Texas game. The outcome is settled based on official Major League Baseball records and box score data. Once the first inning concludes, the market locks in and resolves to yes or no depending on the final run count. Traders should monitor game time and any schedule changes leading up to the event.
Several factors could shift market odds before resolution. Starting pitcher announcements and recent performance trends influence first-inning scoring expectations, as some pitchers are more prone to early runs. Lineup changes, injuries to key batters, or weather conditions at the stadium can alter offensive capability. Recent head-to-head matchups and first-inning scoring patterns between these teams provide historical context. Breaking news about player availability or weather delays may trigger rapid repricing. As game time approaches, trader sentiment often consolidates around refined probability estimates based on all available information.