TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 22, 9:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks individual team run production in the Kansas City vs Tampa Bay game on June 22, 2026. Bettors predict whether Tampa Bay or Kansas City will each score above various run thresholds independently during the game.
Resolution is based on the individual final run totals for Tampa Bay and Kansas City in the game originally scheduled for June 22, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT. Tampa Bay's scoring is evaluated against thresholds ranging from 1.5 to 7.5 runs, while Kansas City's scoring is evaluated against thresholds ranging from 1.5 to 7.5 runs. Each market resolves to Yes if the respective team's final run total meets or exceeds the specified threshold. The official final score as recorded by Major League Baseball determines the outcome for each team independently.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets are driven by trader conviction and real-money risk. This market aggregates the collective forecast of thousands of participants wagering their own capital, which can reveal insights sportsbooks price differently. Comparing the two can highlight where public or professional opinion diverges on team scoring expectations.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders submit buy and sell orders at their chosen price points. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price reflects the last executed trade, and the spread between bid and ask shows the gap between buyers and sellers at any moment. As new information emerges or game time approaches, traders adjust their positions, moving the price to reflect updated expectations for team scoring totals.
This market resolves around Jun 23, 2026, once the Kansas City versus Tampa Bay game concludes and final team scoring totals are verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official final score reported by the league and confirmed through standard sports reporting channels. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell shares as new developments and game-day conditions shift expectations.
Key catalysts include injury announcements to star players, weather forecasts on game day, and recent offensive or defensive performance trends for both teams. Line movements at major sportsbooks often signal sharp money and can trigger repricing here as well. Team news, coaching decisions, and betting market sentiment in the days leading up to kickoff all influence trader positioning. Real-time game flow—early scoring, turnovers, or momentum shifts—will drive the most volatile price swings once play begins.