TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 22, 10:37 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on determining whether one team will dominate the final quarter of a football game by a specific margin. Outcomes depend entirely on scoring dynamics during the last quarter, excluding any overtime periods.
All markets resolve based solely on the point differential between Kansas City and Tampa Bay during the 4th quarter of their scheduled game on August 22, 2026, with overtime points excluded from consideration. Each market specifies a different threshold for Tampa Bay or Kansas City to win the quarter by—ranging from over 2.5 points to over 10.5 points—meaning the market resolves to 'Yes' only if the winning team exceeds that exact margin. The thresholds vary symmetrically for both teams, creating a spectrum of outcome possibilities centered on the quarter’s closing performance. No broader game results or points from other quarters influence these resolutions.
Compared to traditional sportsbook lines, prediction market odds for this market often reflect sharper insights from engaged traders who analyze detailed game dynamics. While sportsbooks set a fixed spread, this market lets participants bet directly on the fourth-quarter performance gap, sometimes showing tighter or wider spreads based on real-time trading activity and emerging game trends.
This market resolves around Aug 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score difference specifically for the fourth quarter will determine which side of the spread wins, based on official game records and widely accepted sports data sources.