TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 22, 9:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Tampa Bay will defeat Kansas City in their scheduled Major League Baseball matchup. On Kalshi, Tampa Bay winning is priced at 15.0%, while Kansas City winning stands at 85.0%. Resolution will be determined by the official result of the game originally scheduled for June 22, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, as confirmed by MLB records. Watch for any roster changes, injury updates, or weather conditions affecting the ballpark in the days leading up to the 6:40 PM EDT first pitch on June 22.
Resolution is based on the final result of the Kansas City vs Tampa Bay professional baseball game originally scheduled for June 22, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game concludes within two days. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled more than two days away, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital. This market may show odds that differ meaningfully from major sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus is strongest and where sharp traders see value relative to conventional betting lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the latest trade, and you can place limit or market orders to enter or exit your position. Liquidity and spreads depend on current trading activity, so checking the order book before trading helps you understand execution costs and available depth at different price levels.
This market resolves around Jun 23, 2026, once the event concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome will be confirmed based on the final score and official records from the game. Until that point, prices will fluctuate as traders update their expectations based on team news, injury reports, betting trends, and other relevant information available before kickoff.
Key catalysts for this market include injury announcements affecting star players, weather forecasts on game day, and shifts in public betting patterns at major sportsbooks. Team performance in preceding games, coaching decisions, and lineup changes can also reshape trader expectations. Breaking news about player availability or unexpected roster moves often triggers sharp repricing. Monitor sports news outlets and official team announcements closely, as even minor updates can swing odds meaningfully in the days leading up to kickoff.