TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 10:26 PM EST
Kalshi
The Kansas City vs Philadelphia MLS game on September 19, 2026 will test both teams' attacking capabilities during the standard 90-minute regulation period. Success in this market depends solely on whether each club scores at least one goal, with own goals counted for the team they are awarded to.
If Kansas City and Philadelphia both score a goal in the Kansas City vs Philadelphia MLS match originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. If a significant number of participants believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can drive the price on Kalshi in a different direction. This dynamic can lead to prediction market prices being more accurate, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. It's a fascinating comparison of different forecasting methods.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether both teams will score in the Kansas City vs Philadelphia match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. This creates a dynamic pricing mechanism where the market continuously updates its forecast based on available information and trader sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both the Kansas City and Philadelphia teams score at least one goal during the match. Official match results from recognized sports data providers will be used to determine the final outcome. The market will then settle, and contract holders will receive payouts based on the final result. Traders should monitor official sources for the confirmed result to understand the settlement.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Kansas City or Philadelphia teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the style of play, could also move the market. Additionally, any updates on team formations or tactical approaches, as revealed in pre-match press conferences, could influence trader sentiment. Finally, public perception and betting trends in traditional sportsbooks can sometimes spill over and affect the price on Kalshi.