TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 3:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Rashee Rice or Emmett Johnson will each score at least one touchdown in the Kansas City versus Miami professional football game. Currently, Kalshi gives Rashee Rice a 4.0% probability of scoring 1+ touchdowns, while Emmett Johnson is at 4.0%. The market will resolve based on whether De'Von Achane scores at least one touchdown in the game, according to Kalshi’s resolution source. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for September 27, 2026, as the outcome will depend on player performance during that fixture.
Each market resolves based on whether the specified player scores the required number of touchdowns during the game. If a player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price before kickoff. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market settles according to the actual touchdowns scored. All markets are independent, and each resolves solely based on the performance of the designated player, with no influence from other players or team outcomes. The markets are not affiliated with the official league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds, which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market allows participants to directly express their beliefs about the probability of a specific outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can provide insights into where the crowd believes the value lies, compared to professional oddsmakers. However, both aim to accurately predict the eventual result.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective probability assessment of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the latest information and sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s depth and volume indicate the level of confidence traders have in their predictions, and the price movements provide a dynamic view of evolving expectations for the number of touchdowns scored in the upcoming game.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final number of touchdowns scored by both the Kansas City Chiefs and the Miami Dolphins in the game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future events based on the verified result.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to the game. Injury reports for key offensive players on either team, such as the quarterback or wide receivers, would likely cause significant price movements. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if heavy rain or strong winds are predicted, could also impact scoring expectations. Late-breaking news regarding team strategies or coaching decisions might also shift the market. Finally, any significant public sentiment shifts, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media trends, could influence trading activity and contract prices.