TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 2:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many field goals each team scores in an upcoming football game. Bettors can speculate on whether a team will achieve specific scoring thresholds, offering a granular way to engage with the game's outcome beyond just winning or losing.
These markets resolve based on the number of field goals scored by each team in the specified football game. For any market, if the named team records the minimum required number of field goals or more, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of its original scheduled time, the market remains open and resolves based on the final official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, the market resolves to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under unforeseen circumstances.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for a profit margin, while this market allows traders to collectively express their beliefs about the likelihood of different outcomes. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously buying and selling contracts on Kalshi and at a sportsbook. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders bid and ask for contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of the corresponding outcome occurring. As more people buy contracts predicting a certain number of field goals, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume influence how quickly prices adjust to new information. Traders are constantly evaluating factors like team performance, weather conditions, and injury reports to inform their trading decisions in this market.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final number of field goals scored in the Kansas City Chiefs versus Miami Dolphins game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, and the market will pay out to those who correctly predicted whether more or fewer field goals were scored than the threshold defined by their contract. All trading will cease once the event concludes and the outcome is officially determined.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Chiefs or the Dolphins, particularly the kickers or quarterbacks, would likely cause price movement. Changes in weather forecasts, such as strong winds or rain, could also impact the number of field goal attempts. Finally, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or game-day decisions could shift market sentiment. Monitoring these signals and analyzing their potential impact is crucial for traders in this market.