TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Kansas City vs Miami: Player Longest Reception
kalshi

Kansas City vs Miami: Player Longest Reception

Volume:
$5,404

Rashee Rice: over 19.5 yards

 - Kalshi

Rashee Rice: over 19.5 yards - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 27, 2026

Closed: Sep 27, 4:17 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Rashee Rice: over 19.5 yards

View
100%
45%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,209
N/A
N/A
$1,102
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Travis Kelce: over 19.5 yards

View
100%
46%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$324
N/A
N/A
$236
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Malik Washington: over 15.5 yards

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$265
N/A
N/A
$265
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Greg Dulcich: over 13.5 yards

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$243
N/A
N/A
$175
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Xavier Worthy: over 16.5 yards

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$234
N/A
N/A
$166
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Chris Bell: over 14.5 yards

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$223
N/A
N/A
$165
Settled
Yes
kalshi

De'Von Achane: over 12.5 yards

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,764
N/A
N/A
$1,764
Settled
No
kalshi

Emmett Johnson: over 8.5 yards

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$517
N/A
N/A
$485
Settled
No
kalshi

Tyquan Thornton: over 17.5 yards

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$412
N/A
N/A
$412
Settled
No
kalshi

Kenneth Walker III: over 11.5 yards

View
0%
64%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$212
N/A
N/A
$212
Settled
No
kalshi

Kevin Coleman Jr.: over 13.5 yards

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This event tracks whether specific players will achieve a longest reception beyond a set yardage threshold in an upcoming football game. Each player's performance is evaluated independently, focusing on the distance of their farthest completed pass during the match.

Kalshi

These markets resolve based on whether designated players record a longest reception exceeding specified yardage thresholds in the Kansas City vs Miami Pro Football game scheduled for Sep 27, 2026. For each player market, if the athlete records a reception longer than the stated threshold, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If a player is active for the team but does not take any snaps, the market settles to the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by penalty—the market settles based on the actual longest reception recorded during the game. All markets are independent, meaning the outcome of one does not affect the others. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with or connected to the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of informed traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early on, as prediction markets can quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities. However, as the event approaches, the odds on Kalshi often converge with those found at sportsbooks, though differences can still persist due to varying market participants and risk assessments.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each player, and the price of each contract reflects the probability of that player having the longest reception. As more people buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth shows the available contracts at different price points, giving an indication of how much volume is available to trade at each level. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently reflect the collective intelligence of participants.

This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The player with the longest reception, as officially recorded by game statistics, will determine the winning contract. The official game statistics will be used to verify the result, and the outcome will be determined based on the yardage of each player’s longest reception during the game. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the resolution is finalized on Kalshi.

Several factors could influence this market. News regarding player injuries, particularly to key wide receivers, would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Changes in weather conditions, such as strong winds, could also impact passing strategies and affect which players are favored. Any updates on player matchups or defensive schemes could also move the market. Finally, late-breaking news or analysis from reputable sports analysts could sway trader sentiment and alter the probabilities on Kalshi.