TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 4:13 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track how many passing touchdowns Patrick Mahomes throws in a specific football game between Kansas City and Miami. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of touchdowns, determining whether Mahomes meets or exceeds that number during the game.
The markets resolve based on the number of passing touchdowns Patrick Mahomes records in the Kansas City vs Miami Pro Football game originally scheduled for September 27, 2026. If Mahomes is active for the game but never takes a snap, all markets settle to the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once Mahomes takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the markets settle according to whether he records the specified number of passing touchdowns. Each market has a distinct threshold (1+, 2+, 3+, 4+, or 5+), and the market resolves to 'Yes' if Mahomes meets or exceeds that threshold. Kalshi clarifies that it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders can buy 'yes' contracts (believing an outcome will occur) or sell 'no' contracts (believing it won’t). The price of each contract represents the probability of that outcome happening. As more people buy 'yes' contracts, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth shows the available liquidity at different price points, indicating how easily you can enter or exit a position. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly adapt to new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of passing touchdowns scored by each team in the Kansas City Chiefs versus Miami Dolphins game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The official game statistics, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will serve as the basis for verifying the outcome. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi once the event has concluded and the results are finalized.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key quarterbacks like Patrick Mahomes or Tua Tagovailoa would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions for passing, could also shift expectations. Game-day updates, such as starting lineup announcements or early game performance, will undoubtedly cause fluctuations. Furthermore, any shifts in public sentiment, reflected in betting trends or expert analysis, can contribute to price movements in this market.