TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Sports
Kansas City vs Miami: Passing Touchdowns
kalshi

What is the result of Kansas City vs Miami?

Volume:
$87,122

Patrick Mahomes: 2+

 - Kalshi

Patrick Mahomes: 2+ - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 27, 2026

Closed: Sep 27, 4:13 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Patrick Mahomes: 2+

View
100%
36%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$37,190
N/A
N/A
$30,575
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Patrick Mahomes: 1+

100%
10%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,811
N/A
N/A
$5,510
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Patrick Mahomes: 3+

0%
32%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$30,597
N/A
N/A
$29,358
Settled
No
kalshi

Patrick Mahomes: 4+

0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,597
N/A
N/A
$7,526
Settled
No
kalshi

Malik Willis: 1+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,421
N/A
N/A
$2,773
Settled
No
kalshi

Patrick Mahomes: 5+

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,506
N/A
N/A
$2,471
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

These markets track how many passing touchdowns Patrick Mahomes throws in a specific football game between Kansas City and Miami. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of touchdowns, determining whether Mahomes meets or exceeds that number during the game.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the number of passing touchdowns Patrick Mahomes records in the Kansas City vs Miami Pro Football game originally scheduled for September 27, 2026. If Mahomes is active for the game but never takes a snap, all markets settle to the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once Mahomes takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the markets settle according to whether he records the specified number of passing touchdowns. Each market has a distinct threshold (1+, 2+, 3+, 4+, or 5+), and the market resolves to 'Yes' if Mahomes meets or exceeds that threshold. Kalshi clarifies that it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of different outcomes. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early on, as prediction markets can incorporate information and opinions more rapidly than sportsbooks. Examining these differences can be valuable for informed decision-making, though it's important to remember both represent probabilities based on different methodologies.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders can buy 'yes' contracts (believing an outcome will occur) or sell 'no' contracts (believing it won’t). The price of each contract represents the probability of that outcome happening. As more people buy 'yes' contracts, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth shows the available liquidity at different price points, indicating how easily you can enter or exit a position. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly adapt to new information and changing sentiment.

This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of passing touchdowns scored by each team in the Kansas City Chiefs versus Miami Dolphins game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The official game statistics, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will serve as the basis for verifying the outcome. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi once the event has concluded and the results are finalized.

Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key quarterbacks like Patrick Mahomes or Tua Tagovailoa would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions for passing, could also shift expectations. Game-day updates, such as starting lineup announcements or early game performance, will undoubtedly cause fluctuations. Furthermore, any shifts in public sentiment, reflected in betting trends or expert analysis, can contribute to price movements in this market.