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400,720

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2,633

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5

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Kansas City vs Miami: Passing Interceptions
kalshi

What is the result of Kansas City vs Miami?

Volume:
$5,781

Malik Willis: 1+

 - Kalshi

Malik Willis: 1+ - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 27, 2026

Closed: Sep 27, 4:01 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Malik Willis: 1+

View
100%
46%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,157
N/A
N/A
$3,157
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Patrick Mahomes: 1+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,982
N/A
N/A
$1,982
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Malik Willis: 2+

View
0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$281
N/A
N/A
$238
Settled
No
kalshi

Patrick Mahomes: 2+

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$280
N/A
N/A
$240
Settled
No
kalshi

Malik Willis: 3+

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$81
N/A
N/A
$81
Settled
No
kalshi

Patrick Mahomes: 3+

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the performance of quarterbacks in a specific football game, focusing on how often their passes are intercepted by the opposing team. The outcome depends on whether the designated players commit enough interception errors during the match.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple markets centered on passing interceptions for two quarterbacks, Malik Willis and Patrick Mahomes, in the Kansas City vs Miami Pro Football game scheduled for September 27, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific threshold of interceptions (1+, 2+, or 3+) for each quarterback. If the named quarterback records the specified number of interceptions or more during the game, that particular market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. A key secondary rule applies uniformly: if either quarterback is active but does not take a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. However, once a quarterback takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves based solely on the actual number of interceptions recorded during their playing time. These rules ensure clarity and fairness in resolving outcomes, particularly in scenarios where player participation is uncertain or disrupted.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Chiefs-Dolphins passing interceptions market displays the current price of contracts representing different numbers of interceptions thrown during the game. You can view a price history chart to see how the market has fluctuated over time, and track the 24-hour trading volume, which is currently $4,454. The total volume traded on this market is $5,781. This allows you to gauge the collective prediction of traders regarding how many passes will be intercepted in this matchup.

Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of people believe an outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price in this market will move accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts closer to the event date.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. Each contract represents a specific number of passing interceptions. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set accurate prices, as they profit from correctly predicting the final result. As more traders participate, the price tends to converge towards a more accurate representation of the event's likelihood.

This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final number of passing interceptions thrown during the Kansas City Chiefs versus Miami Dolphins game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, and the market will pay out to contract holders based on whether the actual number of interceptions matches the contract they purchased. The outcome will be determined by the official game statistics as reported by a trusted sports data source.

Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding the quarterbacks’ health, such as injuries or illness, could significantly shift expectations. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to be windy or rainy, could also impact passing accuracy and interception rates. Furthermore, reports on defensive strategies or key matchups between receivers and defensive backs could sway traders’ opinions. Finally, late-breaking news about player availability or changes in coaching tactics could all contribute to movement in this market.